MCViewPoint

Europe is being weakened by this war, even if its elites have enriched themselves through various non-productive schemes.

The empire builders never sleep

The United States, in its grand geopolitical maneuvering regarding Ukraine, must have been fully cognizant of the improbability of dismantling Russia’s military strength or eroding its political coherence through conventional warfare or economic sanctions. Such a feat would seem at first to be an exercise in folly, and based on the miscalculations of Western leaders, particularly those surrounding the power vectors of Washington DC, Wall Street, and the City of London. Russia, with its immense territorial expanse, historical resilience, and strategic depth, is so highly unlikely to be brought to heel in such fashion, as evidenced by the results of the conflict, that it raises far more profound questions than one of mere folly. There are few accidents in politics, and by extension, geopolitics.

This nigh impossible task today, however, is in large part publicly justified by a false allusion to past precedent. As a consequence largely of the toll on Russia which was World War I, the Russian Revolution was the product of the intersection of social fatigue and geopolitical intrigue. But the inability of the Russian state at the time to offer much in the way of a viable alternative was the result, from the perspective of today, looking backwards, of the relative economic underdevelopment of the global East and global South.

In other words, the rise of India and China today, as well as Latin America and South-East Asia, and their high significance on the global chessboard, are chiefly among the reasons that Russia cannot be ‘isolated’. Such is the nature of multipolarity. The world of technologically and economically advanced civilizations is much larger today than it was over a century ago.

But since these facts were already the known-knowns in terms of global and situational awareness on the part of the U.S., it raises the question of its true plans and intentions.

Based on a broad and extensive view of the situation, it is clear that the goals of the U.S. were several-fold.

1. To revassalize the West European economy;
2. To destroy Ukraine so that its eventual reunion with Russia would be costly in multiple ways;
3. X factors and the known-unknowns, and the unknown-unknowns could potentially lead to the destabilization of Russia, but this would be a bonus or ‘pleasant surprise’ falling outside of strict contingency planning

This paper will focus on the revassalization aspect, and the last point, 3., requires no further explanation. Point 2., will require its own paper, as a series with this one. But briefly on that question, it will be critical to understand that Russia’s gravitational pull – the combination of its cultural affinity and its economic growth and stabilization trajectory inversely away from the late 20^th century collapse period – was naturally leading towards the re-integration of Ukraine with Russia. This means that the U.S. did not view it as likely that they would thwart Russia-Ukraine reintegration, but rather they could manipulate Russia’s red-lines in light of the military aggression of the post-Maidan Kiev Junta, to actually have Russia ‘reset’ much of Ukraine’s infrastructure through the SMO. This makes the cost of reintegration considerably higher than it would have been if not for Western interference.

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