MCViewPoint

Opinion from a Libertarian ViewPoint

Posts Tagged ‘Debt Crisis’

The Death of Truth & the Rise of Centralized Government Control

Posted by M. C. on July 26, 2021

That is, if we thought economic orthodoxy (i.e., living within one’s national means, valuing valuations or honoring free market price discovery) had been tossed into a corner pre-COVID, well, the post-COVID backdrop essentially murdered economic orthodoxy completely.

Today, we have global debt rising exponentially…

https://goldswitzerland.com/the-death-of-truth-the-rise-of-centralized-government-control/

By Matthew Piepenburg

As I write this from a France making ever more bold moves toward forced vaccination, one can’t help but ponder the broader issues of centralized government control, regardless of one’s take on vaccine or no vaccine.

Focusing on financial rather than viral data, the evidence of centralized state control over natural market forces in the stock and bond markets is becoming increasingly incontrovertible.

We’ve written elsewhere about the death of logic and the madness of crowds. It should therefore come as little surprise that the death of truth is yet another casualty of the increased central control we are experiencing in global markets.

Debt Crisis Disguised as a Health Black Swan

Long before COVID reared its highly controversial head (from viral source debates, baby-with-bathwater policy reactions, censored science as to vaccine efficacy and safety, distorted math on infection rates vs death rates, and centralized government control by officials acting “for your own safety” vs. Constitutional and legal issues of individual choice), the global financial system was already in an undeniable as well as unsustainable debt crisis.

As any one who can fog a mirror and read history in the same breath also knows, whenever a debt crisis is obvious, what follows is equally obvious: an economic crisis, then a political crisis, and from there a social crisis.

In short, and from ancient Rome to 1917 Russia, or 1789 France to 1933 Germany, debt matters.

Debt is a very dangerous thing to economies and societies, and always climaxes with more centralized control in its wake.

The problem for the 21st century, however, is that almost no global policymaker (left, right or center, European, Asian or American) wanted to touch this $280T debt elephant in the room.

Instead, they buried their heads for years in the sand and sought re-election with promises paid for with, alas, more debt.

In this openly embarrassing backdrop (long before COVID), economic orthodoxy had been tossed into a corner as governments around the world took on fatal debt levels like this:

Global debt

…paid for (i.e., “monetized”) with mouse-click fiat money like this…

Central bank assets

But rather than face or confess the sins of a system already on its debt-broken knees, the financial and political actors responsible for the pre-COVID debt disaster had a convenient tale to tell.

A Convenient Lie

That is, and almost as if on demand, along came the tale of all tales, the patsy of all patsies, the blame of all blames, and the excuse of all excuses: COVID.

That is, if we thought economic orthodoxy (i.e., living within one’s national means, valuing valuations or honoring free market price discovery) had been tossed into a corner pre-COVID, well, the post-COVID backdrop essentially murdered economic orthodoxy completely.

Today, we have global debt rising exponentially…

Global Debt is a good metric of centralized government control.

…as well global central banks printing more fiat currencies parabolically:

New Rules Hiding Old Failures and “Fuzzy Economics”

See the rest here

Egon von Greyerz
Founder and Managing Partner
Matterhorn Asset Management
Zurich, Switzerland
Phone: +41 44 213 62 45

Matterhorn Asset Management’s global client base strategically stores an important part of their wealth in Switzerland in physical gold and silver outside the banking system. Matterhorn Asset Management is pleased to deliver a unique and exceptional service to our highly esteemed wealth preservation clientele in over 70 countries.

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EconomicPolicyJournal.com: Abolish the Welfare State to Solve the National Debt Crisis

Posted by M. C. on April 18, 2019

https://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2019/04/abolish-welfare-state-to-solve-national.html

Richard Ebeling emails:

I have a new article on the website of the Future of Freedom Foundation (FFF) on, “Abolish the Welfare State to Solve the National Debt Crisis.”

Few things are more frustrating to the friend of freedom than the difficulty in successfully making and winning the case for liberty. But a major reason is the hesitancy or unwillingness of some declared friends of freedom to forthrightly make the case for the abolition of the interventionist-welfare state.

It is the “entitlement” programs of the welfare state that are really behind the growth in government spending and the increasing national debt of, now, over $22 trillion as a result of annual budget deficits to help fund these redistributive expenditures. Rather than politically taking the bull by the horn, too many think that they can fight the growth in government spending and the increasing national debt through fiscal subterfuge.

I take to task “supply-siders” such as Steve Moore, who argue that cutting taxes can stimulate sufficient growth in the economy that government spending and the national debt can be reduced as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product; thus, growing our way out of fiscal ruin.

I detail some of the practical problems and political impossibilities of ever hoping to solve the problem of Big Government primarily through playing around with the tax code, so as not to have to deal with the core problem head on: government should not be playing the role of political paternalist in managing and co-opting individual freedom and choice in such matters as old age and health care.

Until this is admitted and the case for abolishing the entitlement programs is forthrightly defended and argued for, the welfare state and the national debt will continue to grow.

Best,

Richard

Abolish the Welfare State to Solve the National Debt Crisis
By Richard M. Ebeling

Why is it so difficult to win the case for freedom in modern American society? A variety of possible answers come to mind. The collectivists are more effective in appealing to people’s emotions. The interventionist-welfare-statist argument is easier to make than it is to follow the logical chains of reasoning required to make the free-market case. Socialist-leaning teachers and professors who indoctrinate their students with statist ideas from a very young age dominate the government educational system from kindergarten through the Ph.D.  Popular, celebrity culture inculcates society with leftist biases and presumptions.

All those answers have strong elements of truth in them. But there is one other element at work that makes it difficult to effectively make the case for a fully and truly free society, indeed, that can undermine the ideal and understanding of the free society. That element is that too many advocates of a free society compromise its case.

Trillions more in debt on the way.

For example, let’s look at the national-debt crisis. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO), in its June 2018 Long-Term Budget Outlook projected that given current trends for federal tax revenues, government expenditures under existing legislation for “entitlement” programs, and likely general economic growth over the next ten years, the national debt will continue to dramatically increase because of the return of $1 trillion-a-year budget deficits just over the horizon.

The primary source of all the federal government’s budgetary problems is the entitlement programs. In Uncle Sam’s 2018 fiscal year that ended on September 30, 2018, total government spending was $4.1 trillion. Social Security and health-care spending (Medicare and Medicaid) combined, was about $1.95 trillion. Net interest on the national debt came to $371 billion. Together these mandatory spending categories came to almost 60 percent of the federal government’s total budget. Department of Defense and other related military spending came to $601 billion, or 15 percent of Uncle Sam’s expenditures. The remaining items in the budget were those counted as part of “discretionary spending.”

The CBO projects that in ten years, in 2028, total government spending will come to $7.05 trillion, with total tax revenues of $5.52 trillion. The budget deficit a decade from now will be $1.53 trillion just for that fiscal year. The CBO forecasts that because of annual budget deficits of more than $1 trillion, by the end of the federal fiscal year for 2028, the national debt will have increased from its approximately $21.8 trillion today to $34.8 trillion, for a 60 percent increase over the decade.

The growing debt burden

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Uncle Sam's "Debt Crisis Is Coming Soon" | Zero Hedge ...

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