MCViewPoint

Opinion from a Libertarian ViewPoint

Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Doug Casey on Governments Scapegoating Businesses for Inflation

Posted by M. C. on October 18, 2023

Having caused a problem, they present themselves as a solution to the problem. Their solutions are typically counterproductive—stupid, actually. Taxing grocery stores adds to their costs. If they’re to stay in business, those taxes must be passed on to the consumer.

Trudeau is a criminal personality who should be punished for the evil he’s doing. On the other hand, he was popularly elected, largely because he has name recognition from his nominal father and good looks from Fidel Castro, who’s probably his actual sire. In any event, he’s apparently what the majority of Canadians must prefer…

International Man: Thanks to rampant currency debasement, the price of everything has gone up recently.

As the pain from inflation becomes a normal part of life in places like the US and Canada, there are growing calls for politicians to “do something.”

Recently, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau threatened to tax grocery stores if they don’t lower their prices, accusing them of causing inflation and profiting from higher prices.

What’s your take on this?

Doug Casey: Trudeau epitomizes, in many ways, all that’s wrong with the kind of people who go into politics. Things are as expensive as they are partly because taxes take 20% or 30% of everybody’s income when they earn it. Then, when they spend it, they pay another 10%, 20%, or even 30% in sales taxes and VATs. Add on the burden of regulations, which add to costs while decreasing the amount of production.

Taxes and regulations are disastrous. But the big thing is currency debasement. Governments are printing up money by the bushel because they believe in Modern Monetary Theory—paying for what they want by simply printing money.

People like Trudeau are the reason why food prices, and all kinds of prices, are as high as they are.

Having caused a problem, they present themselves as a solution to the problem. Their solutions are typically counterproductive—stupid, actually. Taxing grocery stores adds to their costs. If they’re to stay in business, those taxes must be passed on to the consumer.

Trudeau is a criminal personality who should be punished for the evil he’s doing. On the other hand, he was popularly elected, largely because he has name recognition from his nominal father and good looks from Fidel Castro, who’s probably his actual sire. In any event, he’s apparently what the majority of Canadians must prefer…

International Man: Many Third World countries have scapegoated business owners for rising prices.

The next step is for them to pass laws regulating how businesses can price their products and services.

Where does this all lead?

Doug Casey: As we’ve just discussed regarding Trudeau, government sticks its nose absolutely everywhere. That’s because the type of people who go into government love power, as well as making themselves famous and wealthy.

Almost all economic problems originate with government intervention. The solution isn’t more laws regulating how businesses can act and price their products but less laws. And by less, I mean none at all.

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Wars & Inflation Are The Destroyers of Nations

Posted by M. C. on October 16, 2023

The Ron Paul Liberty Report

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The Hard-Asset Inflation / Paper-Asset Deflation Theory

Posted by M. C. on September 21, 2023

https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/hard-asset-inflation-paper-asset-deflation-theory

Tyler Durden's Photo

by Tyler Durden

Thursday, Sep 21, 2023 – 06:30 AM

Authored by Bruce Wilds via Advancing Time,

All fiat currencies are no more than floating abstractions of value. Society has put its faith in fiat currency issued by governments. These government-issued currencies are not backed by a physical commodity, such as gold or silver, but rather by the promises from the government that issued it. A difficult question investors today face is determining which assets will appreciate most thus rising in value and which form to hold their wealth.

The value of fiat money is derived from supply and demand and the stability of the government that issues it. Over the years many promises have been made that simply cannot or will not be honored. History and many real-life examples exist that indicate that promises are easier to make than keep.

It is very possible in the near future we may see a strong bifurcation of the financial system. The Hard Asset Inflation / Paper Asset Deflation Theory laid out below is based on the idea that as wealthy individuals begin to realize the fragility of the current financial system they will shift their investment preferences to items of substance. 

This repositioning of wealth in assets could occur rather rapidly during a period of inflation. If such a revamping of how the wealthy invest takes place it could drastically add to any inflationary trends. In short, some investments would fall like a stone while others soar. Imagine real estate doubling in value while pensions are cut and stocks falter. This dovetails with my theory the Fed should be ecstatic so many people have been willing to invest in intangible assets because it has helped to minimize inflation.

Paid For Hard Assets In Your Possession Are Best

While real estate is normally valued by the amount of income it can generate, this could change.

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Obama’s chief economist wants more inflation!

Posted by M. C. on August 26, 2023

What do they smoke in DC?

Furman’s illogical proposal exemplifies the erroneous thinking in the economics profession in general and at the Federal Reserve specifically. For example, the “natural” inflation rate is below zero, i.e., deflation.  Thus, the Fed’s policy goal to target a 2 percent inflation rate is fatuous.

As Murray Rothbard pointed out, “rather than a problem to be dreaded and combatted, falling prices through increased production is a wonderful long-run tendency of untrammelled (sic) capitalism.

https://murraysabrin.substack.com/p/obamas-chief-economist-wants-more

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“There is a right way and a wrong way, always choose the right way.”  Abraham Sabrin (1914-2001)

Jason Furman was Obama’s chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers (2013-2017) and is currently a professor of the practice of economic policy at Harvard.  In an Wall Street Journal op-ed yesterday, “The Fed Should Carefully Aim for a Higher Inflation Target,” Furman asserts, “In the short run, the Fed should be aiming to stabilize inflation below 3%. If it can achieve this goal, then it should shift to a higher target range for inflation when it updates its overall strategy around 2025” (emphasis added.)

Furman’s illogical proposal exemplifies the erroneous thinking in the economics profession in general and at the Federal Reserve specifically. For example, the “natural” inflation rate is below zero, i.e., deflation.  Thus, the Fed’s policy goal to target a 2 percent inflation rate is fatuous.  In a free market economy as the output of goods and services increases prices in general should decline. 

As Murray Rothbard pointed out, “rather than a problem to be dreaded and combatted, falling prices through increased production is a wonderful long-run tendency of untrammelled (sic) capitalism. The trend of the Industrial Revolution in the West was falling prices, which spread an increased standard of living to every person; falling costs, which maintained general profitability of business; and stable monetary wage rates—which reflected steadily increasing real wages in terms of purchasing power. This is a process to be hailed and welcomed rather than to be stamped out.”

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Inflation Is a Giant “Skim” on the American People | Mises Wire

Posted by M. C. on August 19, 2023

Inflation created by central banks allows government to ALWAYS have the money it wants—and be first in line to get it.

https://mises.org/wire/inflation-giant-skim-american-people

Charles A. Smith

The price of a McDonald’s hamburger in the United States has inflated 3.75 percent annually over the last seventy years. McDonald’s has grown from a tiny hamburger stand in Des Plaines, Illinois, to the second largest fast-food chain on earth. Scale economies alone (never mind process and productivity improvements) should’ve allowed the price of a burger to decline materially over this period.

Why didn’t it? What forces and institutions have conspired to inflate the cost of a simple meal by more than thirteen times over two generations? Many Mises Wire readers know the answer, but few Americans are economically astute enough to understand or describe what Vladimir Lenin called the “surest means of overturning the existing basis of society.”

Simply put, inflation is a giant “skim”—perpetrated in a symbiosis of money creation by bankers and government-affiliated central bank bureaucrats, the two institutions with the power to create money from nothing. Inflation creates a nice, cushy existence for each group. And the bankers and bureaucrats always get their money.

If steady price deflation were operative—as is the case in a properly functioning consumer economy, where productivity improvements flow into lower consumer prices—the world would be quite different today and far more difficult for bankers and bureaucrats.

With steadily falling prices, bankers must do proper credit analysis. They must set aside ample reserves and generally run their institutions more conservatively. Credit analysis is far more difficult in deflation as borrowers must continuously sell more goods to service their loans rather than relying on boosting prices. Secured loans become problematic as pledged assets devalue. Banking generally becomes a lot more work—and more risky. The period of 1865 to 1910 in the United States was a perfect example of this sort of environment. Record bank failures and enormous financial volatility accompanied steady deflation and one of the greatest periods of economic prosperity and innovation in our nation’s history.

In short, deflation creates risks for banks, so banks conspire with the government to create enough money so they don’t have to deal with it. The “balls to the wall” and “heads I win, tails you lose” practices we’ve become familiar with in banking today are both allowed and inspired by the permanent inflationary regime.

The other major inflation conspirator (and greatest beneficiary) is government. Think of inflation as oxygen for politicians and carbon monoxide as a public vote cast to raise taxes. Steady (2 percent, say?) inflation creates a reliable ratcheting effect on every taxpayer in the land, and a nice, smooth, foamed runway for bureaucrats. And should our benevolent leaders decide the inflation/tax runway isn’t wide enough or smooth enough? They simply borrow the difference (i.e., the deficit) and inflate that away too!

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Why Governments Hate Honest Money | Mises Wire

Posted by M. C. on August 11, 2023

Citizens’ misinformation about inflation is not their fault. There is an army of so-called experts aligned around governments trying to convince them that inflation is caused by anything and everything except the only thing that can make aggregate prices rise at the same time: devaluing the purchasing power of the currency.

Sound money is as important as independent institutions. It protects the citizen from the perverse incentives of governments to pass their imbalances to the population, and it is essential to guarantee the essence of liberty, which is economic freedom.

https://mises.org/wire/why-governments-hate-honest-money

Daniel Lacalle

The middle class in all developed economies is disappearing through a constant process of erosion of its capacity to climb the social ladder. This is happening in the middle of massive so-called stimulus plans, large entitlement programs, endless deficit spending, and “social” programs.

The reality is that those who blame capitalism and free markets for the constant erosion of the middle class should think better of it. Massive money printing and constant financing of larger governments with new currency have nothing to do with capitalism or the free market; it is the imposition of a radical form of statism disguised as an open economy. Citizens who hail the latest government stimulus plan fail to understand that the government cannot give you anything that it has not taken from you before. You get a $1,000 check, and you pay three times over in inflation and real wage destruction. That is why a group of economists and experts have launched the Honest Money Initiative. To stop the destruction of the fabric of the economy, the middle class, and businesses via constant debasement of the currency that governments monopolize.

Citizens rarely understand inflation. Many believe that inflation is equivalent to rising prices and therefore blame those who place the tag on a product for the loss of purchasing power of a currency. However, inflation is caused by more units of currency going toward the same number of goods and services. Printing money above demand is the only thing that makes prices rise in unison. If a price rises due to an exogenous reason but the quantity of currency remains equal, all other prices do not rise.

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Inflation: Your Role as a Milk Cow

Posted by M. C. on July 18, 2023

And that, in fact, is exactly the idea. Banks figured out ages ago that, although people will only tolerate so much taxation, they’ll not only tolerate, but welcome the hidden tax of inflation. The illusion that they’re “getting ahead” gives them the false confidence to take on debt, which will, over time, cripple them.

The purpose of bank-created inflation is to extract wealth from the populace.

by Jeff Thomas

milk cow

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Traditionally, inflation has been defined as “an increase in the amount of currency in circulation.” Such an increase almost always causes an increase in the cost of goods and services, since, more plentiful currency units lowers their rarity, as compared to the supply of goods and services, which remains roughly the same. Therefore, it shouldn’t be surprising if a 20% increase in the amount of currency units translates into a 20% increase in the price of goods and services.

Unfortunately, in recent decades, even dictionaries have been offering a revised definition of inflation, as “an increase in the price of goods and services.” This is a pity, as it makes an already confusing subject even more difficult to understand.

This is especially true for the average guy who has a minimal understanding of economics, but does realise that, even if his wages increase (which he regards as a good thing), he never seems to get ahead. In the end, he always seems to be worse off.

Let’s say that you’re paid $4000 per month. You budget for housing, food, clothing, transportation, etc. Let’s say that that adds up to $3800 per month, and you’re hoping to put $200 per month into savings. Often that doesn’t happen, as unplanned expenses “pop up,” and must be paid for. So, in the end, you save little or nothing.

In the meantime, you’re daydreaming about buying a new car, but it can’t be bought, because you don’t have any money to allocate to it.

Then, your boss says that the recent prosperity has resulted in a big new contract for the company that allows him to give you a raise of $200 a month.

This is your big chance. You go to the car dealership, buy the car, and arrange for time payments of $200 per month to pay for it.

However, what’s rarely understood is that the theoretical “prosperity” is the result of governmentally induced inflation. What appears to be prosperity is merely a rise in costs and, along with it, a rise in your wages.

You appear to be “getting ahead,” but here’s what really happens…

The inflation that resulted in your pay rise also raises the prices on most or all other goods and services. So, instead of spending $3800 on expenses every month, your costs have risen to, say, $4200.

So, only months after your pay rise, you become aware that, not only are all your expenses higher (which you didn’t figure on when you bought the car), you now have the extra monthly obligation of the $200 car payment.

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Even now, capitalism is the greatest hope for Britain and the world

Posted by M. C. on July 15, 2023

The arguments for free markets are easy to make, but too often Conservative politicians shy away from them

In Britain, too, capitalism remains our best hope. The free market has doubled household income in my lifetime, even after inflation, even after current woes. The young have seen post-crash incomes stagnate and Bank of England money-printing distort the economy by pushing house prices out of reach – but this was not the free market. Nor was the hundreds of billions printed to finance lockdowns.

Why is inflation so high? Because banks printed so much money to bankroll lockdowns: a result of distorting capitalism.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/22/capitalism-is-the-greatest-hope-for-britain-and-the-world/


FRASER NELSON

Fraser Nelson
Commuters stand still at a crowded railway station to pay homage during a two-minute long remembrance for bomb blast victims in Mumbai
In the year 2000, 30 per cent of the world’s population lived in extreme poverty. Now it’s down to 8.5 per cent

The most important intellectual discovery of my life came 20 years ago in the pages of Slitz, a sadly defunct lad’s magazine which wasn’t quite as risqué as it sounds. I was trying to learn Swedish and the few words that it printed were about my level. So I’d sit in a cafe with a dictionary and notebook, seeking to learn. Under such circumstances I came across an interview with Johan Norberg, an economist then in his twenties, entitled “Kapitalist? Javisst!” – (“Capitalist? Yes, sure!”). I tracked down his book, and my world changed.

I’ve since been told by far more erudite friends that Norberg’s work is nothing new, just a restatement of arguments made by Friedrich Hayek, Ludwig von Mises and Karl Popper. But they were writing about theory: Norberg had it all backed up with contemporary evidence. The collapse of communism had started a new experiment: what happens when the free market really does go global? The results were coming in by 2001 and Norberg collated them. Every day in every way, things were getting much better. We were – and still are – living in a golden age.

Since then, this thesis has been proved a thousand times over, but something strange has happened. As capitalism’s achievements piled higher, the more unpopular it seemed to become. Its wins have been taken for granted, its defects magnified as never before. The big charities, which witnessed free trade cutting poverty faster than any scheme of handouts, seemed to hate it the most. A generation has since grown up marinated in capitalism’s success, yet convinced of its failure. What’s going on?

I accept that, at present, it does look like a strange kind of success. Inflation is surging, the Bank of England has just increased rates yet again, mortgages are being pushed to agonising levels. Taxes are higher than any time in living memory, living standards are falling faster. Some 29 per cent of UK children are said to be living in poverty, as are 650 million globally – while, as Oxfam often points out, the top 80 billionaires have more wealth than the poorest half of the world.

There are endless rebuttals to this, as well as counter-examples – but no one tends to make them because no one defends capitalism. I can see why. It’s a daft word, usually used to make the basic notion of freedom sound like an evil ideology. Capitalism isn’t about capital, but about transferring power to the many, from the few. It’s about allowing people to make decisions on what will best improve their lives and communities.

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Inflation

Posted by M. C. on June 14, 2023

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Why Does Our Government Lie About Inflation?

Posted by M. C. on January 28, 2023

If government lies about Covid and the vaccines, lies about the reasons for wars and how the wars are going, do you think it tells the truth about inflation? If government almost completely ignores the Constitution (which is the ‘Law of the Land’ that they all swear to obey) are you surprised that your cost of living is skyrocketing way beyond what the government claims? You shouldn’t be.

https://rumble.com/v27dem6-why-does-our-government-lie-about-inflation.html

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