MCViewPoint

Opinion from a Libertarian ViewPoint

Posts Tagged ‘OPEC+’

Global Alliances are Changing… Here’s What it Means for the Current World Order

Posted by M. C. on April 28, 2023

The “non-Western Bloc” holds some 70% of the world’s crude oil reserves, 80% of natural gas reserves, and 43% of coal reserves (probably a lot more given that China has Indonesian coal wrapped up).

by Chris MacIntosh

It’s called the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation… and the head choppers just joined. Long-term readers will recall we suggested as much two years ago. Well… tada!

Saudi Arabia’s King Salman bin Abdulaziz approved a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) that grants the Kingdom the status of a dialogue partner in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, the official Saudi Press Agency (SPA) reported on Tuesday.

In late 2021, following the absolutely atrocious withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan (leaving US citizens on the ground, including those who worked for the US) and the resulting subsequent slaughtering of “sympathizers” and their families (oh, you didn’t see that on mainstream media… weird), we explained that there were two key countries to focus on: Saudi Arabia and Taiwan. The reason? Both relied on US protection for their very existence. It wasn’t even a month after the US withdrawal in Afghanistan that the Saudis struck a military deal with Russia, moving rapidly to secure their new military partner. Their main economic partner, we already know, is now China.

As I have said repeatedly, where trade goes so go military and political alliances.

Now, realize this war is fought on multiple fronts. As the West attempts to destroy demand for oil, OPEC+ fights back.

Of course they did.

OPEC+ announced a surprise oil production cut of more than 1 million barrels a day, abandoning previous assurances that it would hold supply steady and posing a new risk for the global economy.

While the US strategic Oil Reserve chart now looks like an NFT price chart.

But wait, it gets better. While the head choppers cut output by 500,000 b/pd from next month, Iraq, feeling left out, decided to a “voluntary oil production cut” of 211,000 b/pd as of May till year-end. Then Kuwait “voluntarily” cut production by 128,000 b/pd also from the beginning of May. Oman, feeling lonely, followed with a “volutantary” 40,000 b/pd cut from the beginning of May. And one more. The UAE cut 144,000 barrels of the stuff from May, too. Oh, I nearly forgot one — Russia. The Russkies will also cut 500,000 gallons of production this year.

All up, we’re looking at over 1.5m b/pd coming off market. If this isn’t a collective middle finger, then I don’t know what is.

See the rest here

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Choosing Sides in the New Cold War

Posted by M. C. on October 20, 2022

by Ted Snider

Outside the US, UK and Europe, the war in Ukraine looks more complicated than it does in the US. And many of those countries want to reserve the right to remain nonaligned and want to push for a diplomatic solution to the war. It is not true that the US does not ask those countries to choose sides, that it does “not ask any nation to choose between the United States or any other partner.”

antiwar.com

In his September 21 address to the United Nations General Assembly, President Biden said “We do not seek a Cold War. We do not ask any nation to choose between the United States or any other partner.”

It took a lot of courage to make that claim.

On October 5, OPEC+ announced that they were cutting oil production by two million barrels a day. That represents a 2% reduction of the daily global supply, larger than expected and the biggest cut in over two years.

That cut in oil production comes despite Biden’s plea to Saudi Arabia to increase oil production to offset rising prices caused by Russian sanctions and, crucially, boost the efficacy of sanctions on Russia. Biden offered Saudi Arabia an expanded “strategic partnership,” a “commitment to supporting Saudi Arabia’s security and territorial defense,” and a further commitment to uphold Saudi Arabia as the dominant power in the region.

Biden welcomed the pariah kingdom back into the world community in a trade for siding with the US by increasing oil production. He got rejected. And that is when the White House proved that they do ask nations to choose sides: “It’s clear that OPEC+ is aligning with Russia with today’s announcement,” announced White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre.

And there is a penalty for not being on America’s side. Several members of congress have called for the US to respond by putting an end to all US military aid to Saudi Arabia. Senator Bob Mendez, the chair of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, promised that, because of Saudi Arabia’s “decision to help underwrite Putin’s war,” he “will not green-light any cooperation with Riyadh until the kingdom reassesses its position with respect to the war in Ukraine.” Legislation has been introduced to remove US troops and missile systems from Saudi Arabia and to stop all arms sales to Saudi Arabia. The price that Saudi Arabia will pay is not for its decision’s effect on oil markets or anything other than choosing sides: the military relationship could be restarted if Saudi Arabia “reconsiders its embrace of Putin,” said Senator Richard Blumental and Representative Ro Khanna, describing the legislation they have proposed.

The experience of Saudi Arabia is not an isolated example that refutes Biden’s claim that the US does not ask countries to choose sides.

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NOPEC Bill Won’t Bring Oil Prices Down

Posted by M. C. on October 14, 2022

Tyler Durden's Photo

BY TYLER DURDEN

THURSDAY, OCT 13

Authored by James Durso via OilPrice.com,

“Nobody f*cks with a Biden,” said the U.S. president, and the oil ministers of the member countries of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) replied, “Hold my beer.”  OPEC+ then proceeded to approve production cuts of 2 million barrels per day,

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/nopec-bill-wont-bring-oil-prices-down

  • Washington responded angrily to OPEC+’s decision to cut output.
  • U.S. legislators have suggested the introduction of a bill called NOPEC in order to reduce OPEC’s power.
  • NOPEC could send oil prices higher and end the dominance of the petrodollar.

“Nobody f*cks with a Biden,” said the U.S. president, and the oil ministers of the member countries of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) replied, “Hold my beer.”  OPEC+ then proceeded to approve production cuts of 2 million barrels per day, despite a full court press by the administration in the weeks leading up to the decision, and raised the price of oil for the U.S., lowered it for Europe, and left it unchanged for Asia. According to National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, “the President is disappointed by the shortsighted decision by OPEC+ to cut production quotas” and “the Biden Administration will also consult with Congress on additional tools and authorities to reduce OPEC+’s control over energy prices,” neglecting to mention that Biden administration decisions to cancel the Keystone XL pipeline and to stop issuing new oil and gas leases on public lands gave OPEC+ the upper hand. 

Apparently, a fist bump only gets you so far. 

There followed a lot of “how dare they!” by the great and good, but OPEC+ was having none of it. The day before the announcement, the Saudi energy minister dressed down a Reuters reporter for shoddy work by his colleague who claimed that Russia and Saudi Arabia (the Kingdom) conspired to price oil at $100 per barrel, and later explained OPEC+ was being proactive as the West is attacking inflation with higher interest rates which, in turn, may cause a recession and drive down oil demand (and price). Amin Nasser, Saudi Aramco’s chief executive officer, explained that the leading cause of today’s energy crisis is years of underinvestment in oil and gas production and that the situation will be worse when the global economy rebounds from the current slowdown. 

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