MCViewPoint

Opinion from a Libertarian ViewPoint

Two Years After the Start of the SMO, the West is Totally Paralyzed

Posted by M. C. on February 26, 2024

By Pepe Escobar
Strategic Culture

Many Western economies, especially in Europe, are actually stagnating against this background. These statistics are from Western-supervised institutions – the IMF, the World Bank and the OECD. These institutions are becoming relics from the past. Western domination is already affecting their ability to meet the requirements of the times.

Exactly two years ago this Saturday, on February 24, 2022, Vladimir Putin announced the launching – and described the objectives – of a Special Military Operation (SMO) in Ukraine. That was the inevitable follow-up to what happened three days before, on February 21 – exactly 8 years after Maidan 2014 in Kiev – when Putin officially recognized the self-proclaimed republics of Donetsk and Lugansk.

During this – pregnant with meaning – short space of only three days, everyone expected that the Russian Armed Forces would intervene, militarily, to end the massive bombing and shelling that had been going on for three weeks across the frontline – which even forced the Kremlin to evacuate populations at risk to Russia. Russian intel had conclusive proof that the NATO-backed Kiev forces were ready to execute an ethnic cleansing of Russophone Donbass.

February 24, 2022 was the day that changed 21st century geopolitics forever, in several complex ways. Above all, it marked the beginning of a vicious, all-out confrontation, “military-technical” as the Russians call it, between the Empire of Chaos, Lies and Plunder, its easily pliable NATOstan vassals, and Russia – with Ukraine as the battleground.

There is hardly any question Putin had calculated, before and during these three fateful days, that his decisions would unleash the unbounded fury of the collective West – complete with a tsunami of sanctions.

Ay, there’s the rub; it’s all about Sovereignty. And a true sovereign power simply cannot live under permanent threats. It’s even feasible that Putin had wanted (italics mine) Russia to get sanctioned to death. After all, Russia is so naturally wealthy that without a serious challenge from abroad, the temptation is enormous to live off its rents while importing what it could easily produce.

Exceptionalists always gloated that Russia is “a gas station with nuclear weapons”. That’s ridiculous. Oil and gas, in Russia, account for roughly 15% of GDP, 30% of the government budget, and 45% of exports. Oil and gas add power to the Russian economy – not a drag. Putin shaking Russia’s complacency generated a gas station producing everything it needs, complete with unrivalled nuclear and hypersonic weapons. Beat that.

Ukraine has “never been less than a nation”

Xavier Moreau is a French politico-strategic analyst based in Russia for 24 years now. Graduated from the prestigious Saint-Cyr military academy and with a Sorbonne diploma, he hosts two shows on RT France.

His latest book, Ukraine: Pourquoi La Russie a Gagné (“Ukraine: Why Russia has Won”), just out, is an essential manual for European audiences on the realities of the war, not those childish fantasies concocted across the NATOstan sphere by instant “experts” with less than zero combined arms military experience.

Moreau makes it very clear what every impartial, realist analyst was aware of from the beginning: the devastating Russian military superiority, which would condition the endgame. The problem, still, is how this endgame – “demilitarization” and “denazification” of Ukraine, as established by Moscow – will be achieved.

What is already clear is that “demilitarization”, of Ukraine and NATO, is a howling success that no new wunderwaffen – like F-16s – will be able to change.

Moreau perfectly understands how Ukraine, nearly 10 years after Maidan, is not a nation; “and has never been less than a nation”. It’s a territory where populations that everything separates are jumbled up. Moreover, it has been a – “grotesque” – failed state ever since its independence. Moreau spends several highly entertaining pages going through the corruption grotesquerie in Ukraine, under a regime that “gets its ideological references simultaneously via admirers of Stepan Bandera and Lady Gaga.”

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Why the Excess “Savings” Ice Cube Is Coming Out of Cold Storage

Posted by M. C. on February 26, 2024

By David Stockman

David Stockman’s Contra Corner

Even if you put a lot of stock in government manufactured GDP owing to unhinged spending and deficits, which we most definitely do not, it would be wise to be careful about what you are applauding. The allegedly resilient US economy, which is purportedly defying the Fed’s interest raising campaign, isn’t nearly what it’s cracked up to be.

There was a hint of this in Walmart’s Q4 earnings announcement yesterday in which it noted a “choiceful consumer” was spending less per trip and curtailing outlays for discretionary items in favor of low-cost necessities. And that admission was more than evident in the steady deflation of its USA comp store sales trend.

The figures in the chart are in nominal dollars, which declined by more than 50% between Q4 2023 (+8.3%) and Q4 2024 (+4.0%). Admittedly, inflation has been coming down too, as reflected in our trusty 16% trimmed mean CPI. The latter posted at +6.6% on a Y/Y basis in Q4 2023 and +3.8% in Q4 2024.

Still, the math says constant dollar sales have slipped even more than the reported nominal figures. The inflation-adjusted Y/Y gain in Q4 2023 was +1.7% compared to just +0.2% in the period just ended (Q4 2024).

Both figures are on the punk side, but there is “no way, no how” that the core main street consumer, who is a Walmart shopper by necessity, is in the pink of health as the stock peddlers of Wall Street and the “Joe Biden” puppeteers of the White House would have you believe.

Moreover, for want of doubt it should be noted that these marginal real sales gains were not due to the mighty Walmart loosing market share, either. The company reported that its surging eCommerce sales passed the $100 billion mark last year and that consequently Walmart “is gaining share in nearly every category”, according to CFO John Rainey.

So, the more appropriate question is not why the American consumer has been so resilient, but why the clearly fading consumer has remained in the game even this long.

Actually, however, there is no real mystery about the US economy’s defiance of the long-predicted recession. Nor is the purported stay of execution evidence that the geniuses at the Fed have orchestrated a “soft landing”.

What is happening is that some of the massive amounts of government manufactured GDP which flowed from $6.5 trillion of stimmy spending during the 12 months after March 2020 got temporarily placed in cold storage at household bank accounts. And since then it has been slowly dribbling into the spending stream, thereby bolstering demand stemming from current period production and earnings.

We think a good measure of this delayed “stimmy effect” is captured by the relationship between high-powered consumer spending accounts—checkable deposits and currency—and national income. That ratio had varied between 4.0% and 6.5% during the two decades prior to Q1 2020 but took off like the literal rocket ship shape depicted in the chart below.

As of Q3 2019, these spendable cash balances totaled $938 billion and represented about 4.3% of GDP. But by the peak of the stimmy tsunami in Q3 2022 the figures stood at $4.8 trillion and 18.5% of GDP. In the graph this implicit $4 trillion surge in household cash balances looks like a big middle finger, and well it might be.

Households have told the Fed in so many words that interest rate increases or no, they are sitting pretty on an aberrational $4 trillion cash cushion. They apparently intend, therefore to keep on spending the usual 96% of what they are currently earning, thereby causing the Fed’s vaunted monetary brake to essentially fail.

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Conflicts & Financial Distress — The Open Border Is A Disaster For America

Posted by M. C. on February 26, 2024

The Ron Paul Liberty Report

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Don’t Spare the Billions

Posted by M. C. on February 26, 2024

Joe Biden has created a tsunami of inflation with his giveaways to black voters, his open-ended support of Israel’s far right government and now billions more spending.  It’s been a financial disaster.  Donald Trump understands. After all, it was he who ended the stupid, pointless war in Afghanistan.

By Eric S. Margolis

When I was a boy growing up in New York City I was taught – and re-taught – to always save half of my weekly allowance and never spend more than I had in savings.

Too bad Joe Biden was not taught this useful Presbyterian virtue.  Recently, Biden’s government has sought $106 billion in the latest aid for arms for Israel and Ukraine, the biggest expenditure since the Vietnam War.  This while the bills for the incredibly foolish war in Afghanistan keep coming in, to date $2 trillion.

Now, the US in high-fever pre-election time, is lavishing billions upon Israel.  Most of the world is trying to get Israel out of its lethal rampage in Gaza, but the US and its failing colonial partner, Great Britain, continue to wave the banner of empire. Britain, as hardly anyone has noticed, has been bombing Yemen for the past 14 years, supplying warplanes, bombs and mercenary pilots and technicians.

President Biden is growing desperate as the election draws closer.  Polls show him way behind Donald Trump.  Both Trump and Biden are too old for the job of president.  In my old-fashioned view, only military veterans should be allowed to run for high office.

Meanwhile, Biden is splashing around tens of millions on schemes for blacks, who have become his electoral mainstay.  Jewish voters who ardently back Israel are said to provide a large proportion of the Democratic party’s finances. They are advocating deeper US involvement in the Gaza Conflict and even more money for Israel, already the largest recipient of US cash.

Pandering to Israel is standard pre-election behavior. In the old days elections were always marked by huge cash grants and the latest US weapons lavished on Israel.  And money on the ‘three I’s,’ Israel, Italy and Ireland.

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The Awesome Punching Power of Thomas Paine

Posted by M. C. on February 24, 2024

By George F. Smith

Paine “forced people to think the unthinkable, to ponder the supposedly self-evident, and thus to take the first step in bringing about a radical change.” And what was unthinkable? That colonists’ beloved King George III was really “the royal brute of Great Britain,” (he was) principal ruffian of some restless gang, whose savage manners or pre-eminence in subtlety obtained him the title of chief among plunderers; and who, by increasing in power and extending his depredations, overawed the quiet and defenseless to purchase their safety by frequent contributions.

Most public school graduates have heard that Thomas Paine wrote something that convinced the colonies to declare their independence — though if they’re older than 21 their memory probably needs jogging.  A few can even name what he wrote: Common Sense.  And some can even incorrectly attribute a famous line to that pamphlet — These are the times that try men’s souls.

With rare exceptions most people don’t give a whit about Paine or what he wrote.  But then, most people don’t care much for American history.  What they don’t care about they don’t know about, as Mark Dice has ably demonstrated.  Only if something is posted on social media does it count, and probably not for long.  Whatever causal effects the days of 1776 might have had, they’re long buried in the great turmoil of events that followed.

But given that the country has been on fire in recent years and given the indoctrination that passes for formal education to explain it, we would be wise to take a closer look at some of the early fathers of our country, especially Thomas Paine, who Pulitzer Prize-winning historian Bernard Bailyn describes as the

bankrupt Quaker corset-maker, the sometime teacher, preacher, and grocer, and twice-dismissed excise officer who happened to catch Benjamin Franklin’s attention in England and who arrived in America only fourteen months before Common Sense was published

— and who had quit school at age 12 to work for his father.

Since the fuse was lit in Lexington in April 1775 colonists had been fighting a foreign ruler that was largely embedded in their surroundings.  Their immediate rulers, including the British redcoats colonists had been ordered to house, were also their neighbors.  Under George III their pleas for reconciliation had been ignored, and the prospects for peace and harmony with the “Mother Country” looked slim.

According to Bailyn, other notable pamphlets of the Revolution —

pamphlets written by lawyers, ministers, merchants, and planters—[probed] difficult, urgent, and controversial questions and made appropriate recommendations. . . Paine’s [pamphlet] had nothing of the close logic, scholarship, and rational tone of the best of the American pamphleteers . . . he had none of the hard, quizzical, grainy quality of mind that led Madison to probe the deepest questions of republicanism.

To put it bluntly, “Paine was an ignoramus,” Bailyn writes,

both in ideas and in the practice of politics, next to Adams, Jefferson, Madison, or [James] Wilson. He could not discipline his thoughts; they were sucked off continuously from the sketchy outline he apparently had in mind when he began the pamphlet, into the boiling vortex of his emotions.

And none of the others called for separation from England.  And why would they?  According to historian-economist Gary North, “the freest society on earth in 1775 was British North America, with the exception of the slave system. Anyone who was not a slave had incomparable freedom.”  Why would anyone pay attention to an uneducated immigrant calling for independence?

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Of Course We Should Mock the State

Posted by M. C. on February 23, 2024

By J.B. Shurk
American Thinker

Ever since Obama’s election, the effort to bulldoze America and rebuild on its rubble a compliant nexus point for the WEF’s coercive Borg to dominate the West has picked up speed. Unaccountable bureaucrats and politicians in Washington don’t even pretend to respect the will of voters anymore.

Every once in a while, Big Government globalists inadvertently tell the truth.  It’s usually not because they’re dumb, but because they’re so entombed inside their own dystopian cocoons that they forget how crazy they might sound to reasonable, well adjusted people.  The World Economic Forum is filled with giddy zealots who have no idea how insane their plans for global domination sound to the wider population because the WEF’s psychopathic members are universally eager to depopulate the planet; cage the survivors; and drip-feed their human pets with a cocktail of drugs, bugs, and propaganda.  Ordinary people look at Klaus Schwab and see Dr. Evil.  WEF-fers see Commie Klaus as a shiny-headed (perhaps reflecting so much bright light as to be downright Luciferian) globalist god.  While Davos devotees yearn for a “new world order,” prudent Westerners are thinking about how to end the WEF’s madness before it abruptly ends them.

There was a time when Americans would look at some of the eccentric cult behavior taking place in Europe, shake their heads, and dismiss it as the kind of kookiness that happens when Old World aristocrats and commie-curious “elites” get together to drown their sorrows in cognac and regale each other with tales of lost colonies and mighty empires.  Then American politicians began sounding a lot like their European cousins, who speak of common people as a farmer would a sounder of smelly pigs.  When then-senator Barack Obama was yukking it up on the campaign trail with Nancy Pelosi’s friends in San Francisco, he complained about “bitter” blue-collar voters who “cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren’t like them.”  Even Hillary Clinton cackled at that mask-slipping moment, when she denounced Obama’s remarks as “elitist and out of touch.”  She was lying, of course, because eight years later, she told an audience in New York City that half of Donald Trump’s voters are “racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamophobic — you name it” and deserve to be relegated to a “basket of deplorables.”  Those moments of candor — delivered in front of adulatory audiences who shared Obama’s and Clinton’s cloistered worldview — crystallized for tens of millions of Americans that the political “elites” occupying D.C. have more in common with Dr. Evil’s communist club of aspiring tyrants in Davos than with the hardworking, God-fearing, patriotic citizens who have always sacrificed so much to make America great.

Ever since Obama’s election, the effort to bulldoze America and rebuild on its rubble a compliant nexus point for the WEF’s coercive Borg to dominate the West has picked up speed.  Unaccountable bureaucrats and politicians in Washington don’t even pretend to respect the will of voters anymore.  Strong majorities of Americans have said resoundingly: close and secure the borders, stop spending money that you do not have, end widespread warrantless surveillance, stop censoring public debate, stop distorting the law to punish dissenting voices, safeguard elections from mail-in ballot fraud, and stop funneling money to foreign regimes that use that money to attack the United States.  The hive-mind Borg in D.C. has told the American people to go suck an egg.  The federal government’s targeted abuse of Americans has been an eye-opening experience for many.

Consider this question: when is the last time you can remember an Establishment politician trying to unite Americans behind common history and principles, irrespective of background or race?  It’s been many years, has it not?  Why is that?  Because the current power structure of the U.S. government depends upon keeping Americans fiercely divided.

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$10,000 (In Refillable) Debit Cards For Migrants In NYC

Posted by M. C. on February 23, 2024

The Ron Paul Liberty Report

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And the Winner Is…Not You

Posted by M. C. on February 23, 2024

by Joseph Solis-Mullen

Of all the government or quasi-government institutions, there is perhaps none as openly opaque in its operations and unaccountable for its failures as the Federal Reserve…

Translated: the Fed intends to “buy and then sell back at a set date and price any qualifying security from any qualifying corporation or institution,” essentially, a futures contract meant to help operations that are either illiquid or overleveraged stay in business;

Further translated: giving money to failed businesses that ought to stay failed.

https://libertarianinstitute.org/articles/and-the-winner-is-not-you

Of all the government or quasi-government institutions, there is perhaps none as openly opaque in its operations and unaccountable for its failures as the Federal Reserve. For, unlike its top rivals for this most dubious of distinctions, like the CIA, NSA, or DOD, which do their law bending and money wasting largely of sight and out of mind, the nation’s money supply is so ubiquitous, so ever-present in the lives of the ordinary person that its activities must of necessity take place before the public eye. Hence, the gradual development of Fed Speak; that is, the art of speaking so technocratically that none but the most arcanely initiated have any hope of understanding what is being said or done.

Consider a few commonplace examples, which one can find in the regularly published minutes of the Federal Reserve’s meetings:

The Fed will “conduct overnight reverse repurchase agreement operations at an offering rate of 0.8 percent and with a per-counterparty limit of $160 billion per day,” and further “engage in dollar roll and coupon swap transactions as necessary to facilitate settlement of the Federal Reserve’s agency MBS transactions.”

Mm-hm. Yes. Indeed—perfectly clear.

Translated: the Fed intends to “buy and then sell back at a set date and price any qualifying security from any qualifying corporation or institution,” essentially, a futures contract meant to help operations that are either illiquid or overleveraged stay in business; and, further towards that end, the Fed intends to “continue to sell short various portions of its now nearly $3 trillion in mortgage backed security holdings,” again in an effort to help illiquid or highly levered dealers and traders of these securities stay liquid.

That Fed Speak elides more than it illuminates is, of course, intentional and operates on a number of levels: first, no ordinary person understands any of this; second, those who do understand benefit from these arrangements, i.e. the major banks, and consequently love it and have lobbied for it; and, lastly, the above combination along with their desire to pass the buck to anyone else means your congressional reps have no interest in intervening with the Fed’s activities, even when it blatantly violates the rules Congress put in place when it set the Federal Reserve up—all Fed purchases having been statutorily mandated to occur in the “open market,” that is at market prices (i.e. not executed as futures contracts).

Lev Menand’s latest book, which I reviewed last year, for all its sympathy for the Federal Reserve’s activities (having been himself an employee), could not avoid deeming the Fed completely out of control, acting since 2008 and through COVID without any bounds at all: an exploding balance sheet, unlimited credit facilities for troubled banks—this is not “Free Market Capitalism,” but rank corporatism, and a major reason young people increasingly view socialism or populist conservatism as preferable alternatives.

For, much like the national security establishment, it isn’t as though these gross violations of the principles of liberal, capitalist government have even produced any notable successes: quite to the contrary, they have produced little but abject failure.

Consider, first, its primary mandate, price stability. Even if you buy the argument for the Fed’s inflation targeting (macroeconomic voodoo), as should be clear by the Fed’s own tracking of its expansion of the money supply and concurrent inflation measures, including not just consumer and producer price indexes but also asset price inflation, it has been running the money printer at a far higher clip than the 2% they claim to be the annual target (see graphs below—and note that the Nasdaq, the index most heavily skewed toward non-dividend paying, high-growth potential technology companies grew the fastest and the most since 2008, a consequence of the lower discount rate the Fed’s looser monetary policy preferences required).

Further, even assuming the Fed hits their 2% annual target, everyone who has seen the infamous graph illustrating the loss of the dollar’s purchasing power since the Fed’s inception will no doubt be aware that by the turn of the next century the value of a dollar in the intervening seventy-plus years would have been further halved.

As far as its second mandate, full employment (yet more macroeconomic voodoo), unless you want a McJob or other insecure work in the so-called “gig economy,” the Federal Reserve’s market distortions have played a central role in undermining investment in the real, rather than the financial, economy.

Whether like Friedrich Hayek you believe currency of choice, the denationalization of money, is the answer, or like Ron Paul believe it is time to simply End the Fed, it is beyond time for public debate to pull back the curtain on the Fed’s language games and call a stop to the inflationists’ game.

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You Only Need To Cage A Bird If It Knows That It Can Fly

Posted by M. C. on February 21, 2024

By Caitlin Johnstone
CaitlinJohnstone.com

Once people are no longer buying into power-serving narratives, we will gain the ability to begin working toward the creation of a truth-based society that works for everyone. But this will never happen as long as we are being successfully manipulated into believing that this model for human civilization is acceptable and serves our interests. The very first step is un-jacking our brains from the propaganda matrix.

https://www.lewrockwell.com/2024/02/no_author/you-only-need-to-cage-a-bird-if-it-knows-that-it-can-fly

One point I keep trying to drive home here in as many ways as I can is that this is the dystopia we were warned about. The main difference between this mind-controlled dystopia and the fictional dystopias in novels like 1984 is that in 1984 people knew they weren’t living in a free society, whereas in this dystopia the people believe they are free.

In Orwell’s dystopia people knew they weren’t free and had to use doublethink to stay out of trouble with their rulers. In this dystopia people have no idea how pervasively they’re being dominated by their rulers; they think they came up with their ideas, worldview and political positions on their own, when in reality those belief systems were constructed inside their skulls by a profoundly sophisticated propaganda machine without their even knowing it.

All mainstream and semi-mainstream political factions are owned and operated by the powerful, and propaganda is used to get the public subscribing to them to advance the interests of the powerful. Because the overwhelming majority of us have been manipulated into espousing one of these power-serving belief systems (they give you multiple choices depending on your ideological disposition), the more overtly totalitarian measures described by dystopian novelists are unnecessary. You only need to cage a bird if it knows that it can fly.

But make no mistake: our society is no more free than those in the dark futures imagined by storytellers. If our minds are not free, then we are not free. If we’re being successfully manipulated into thinking, speaking, acting, voting, working and consuming in accordance with the wishes of the powerful, then we’re just as locked down as we would be if we had chains around our necks. Collectively we could not be any more aligned with the will of the powerful than we already are, even if our brains were replaced with computer chips.

There is no more need for dystopian fiction, because the dystopia has already arrived. It’s here. In fact, dystopian fiction is actually destructive because it causes people to imagine that dystopia is a threat that exists somewhere off in the future instead of right here and now all around us.

We don’t need dystopian fiction for the same reason we wouldn’t need imaginary swords-and-sorcery fantasy novels if we we lived in a world of wizards and dragons. People living in dystopian societies do not need dystopian fiction, they need dystopian facts. Dystopian journalism. Dystopian documentaries. Dystopian polemics. We just need true information and reality-based ideas to counter the lies and manipulation we’re inundated with from day to day.

We cannot be free until we have used the power of our numbers to shrug off the control of our dystopian overlords, and we’ll never do that as long as a critical majority of us are unable to see how profoundly unfree we really are. There’s no escaping the mind control matrix of imperial propaganda until you can see the lines of code it is made of.

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Why War Bonds Are Returning in Europe

Posted by M. C. on February 21, 2024

They aren’t a market. They are, however, a massive political tool. Because they gave the EU Commission the ability to levy taxes to pay the 0.1% coupon on them. It’s the government tax and spend equivalent of “just the tip.” It’s only a small surcharge on your grocery bill… or whatever.

After a mostly peaceful Security Conference in Munich over the weekend, Estonian Prime Minister Katja Kallas let the real purpose of all the recent hysteria over Ukraine funding out of the proverbial bag — Eurobonds.

Kallas was handed the bully pulpit to make the argument for $110 billion in Eurobonds be issued by the EU Commission to spend on arming Europe for the future and supporting Ukraine. It just sounds like more of the same that we’ve heard for two years now. More money for Ukraine. More war spending.

But this is a far more complex and nuanced issue than just making sure the West fights Russia to the last Ukrainian. This is ultimately about shoring up the EU’s fundamental weakness. It is an economic bloc with a common currency whose political authority is mostly powerless to control the value of that currency.

For this reason the EU leadership, nominally Davosian in their agenda, has been working their political machine towards giving the EU Commission that power through bond issuance and a centralized taxing mechanism.

They did this after COVID with their SURE Bonds, which they issued in 2020 to legitimize this process. I covered this in a long article in October last year when this very issue came up again when ECB President Christine Lagarde made it public that they want to create a Eurobond Index so give them greater visibility in the vain hope someone will buy this next round of them.

There is also a major push happening offscreen for these bonds to become indexed next to everyone else’s, i.e. to more easily sell them to Muppet investors, through the imprimatur of them being official and backed by the full faith and credit of the EC. Of course, the initial investors in them have lost their ass as the bulk of them were issued when the ECB was at -0.6%. (See Here).

The ECB just held rates at 4.5%. The bond math doesn’t work. So, the EU got the last big lot of blood and treasure after the COVID operation from its investor class, who are now sitting on massive losses. Some of these investors, of course, were the member central banks themselves.

Don’t believe me? A €7 billion 0.1% coupon SURE bond maturing in October of 2040 is now trading at a yield of 3.867%. Now that doesn’t look so bad until you grep the price of that bond, which is trading with a bid/ask spread of 0.54/0.55… or a 45% loss.

This particular SURE bond has recovered in price back to around $0.61, after one of the biggest rallies in sovereign debt markets in history to end 2023. But that’s also just the quoted price. There is no price discovery on these, as there’s only on trade a week actually happening in Frankfurt where these things are listed.

They aren’t a market. They are, however, a massive political tool. Because they gave the EU Commission the ability to levy taxes to pay the 0.1% coupon on them. It’s the government tax and spend equivalent of “just the tip.” It’s only a small surcharge on your grocery bill… or whatever.

One problem is that the initial investors in these things are still sitting on 40% losses. If the first round are selling at a 40 to 50% discount what coupon are they going to have to offer to get anyone to buy the next round? nd it’s part of the reason why there is such urgency to get central banks to lower rates.

The EU can’t afford to raise the capital it needs to complete its fiscal integration plans with the ECB forced up to 4.5% to keep pace with Powell’s FED. They need these rates back near zero to fund their grand dreams of a hydrocarbon-free totalitarian future.

As always, this underscores the point I’ve been making for two-plus years now that Powell’s “higher for longer” rate policy is squeezing not just the European banking system but also it’s political objectives.

None of this is remotely sustainable at 5.5%. And for anyone who thinks the US is more vulnerable to this than the EU is, I invite you to explain that to me in grave detail with the dollar having drank nearly all of the euro’s milkshake in global trade over the past two years.

I’ll wait.

From SURE to War

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