MCViewPoint

Opinion from a Libertarian ViewPoint

Posts Tagged ‘growth’

What If Solutions That Worked in the Past No Longer Fix What’s Broken?

Posted by M. C. on January 6, 2025

Political realities are glossed over to fuel optimism for “hope and change.” No politician ever wins re-election by reducing the federal budget. This is an abstraction we claim to care about but in the real world, we care more about decaying bridges where we live, the cost of medications, whether jobs or plentiful or scarce, etc., and so politicians win re-election by sluicing federal funding to repairing the bridge, reducing the cost of medications and funding the defense plant making weapons the Pentagon didn’t want but Congress loved because “defense spending” is viewed politically as a jobs program.

https://www.oftwominds.com/blogdec24/past-solutions12-24.html

You see the irony here: the more successful the old solutions were, the greater our compulsion to cling to them even as they fail.

Humans use inductive reasoning to solve problems. If a solution fixed a problem in the past, we assume it will solve the problem again. This is a rational expectation based on prior experience.

But if conditions change, the solution won’t fix the problem. It might even make things worse.

The difficulty is what’s changed isn’t always visible or obvious. On the surface, things look the same. What’s changed is buried deep in the structural machinery grinding away beneath the superficial sense of continuity with the recent past.

This describes the current global system: conditions have changed but these structural changes are not visible. On the surface, the present looks like the recent past. Yes, technology changes, but this constant churn of new technology has long been part of the system.

Make America Great Again is an explicit call to return to the solutions that worked in the past, specifically The Reagan Revolution of the 1980s, which was characterized by these policies:

1. The federal government is the problem, not the solution. The solution is to reduce the influence and financial footprint of the federal government.

2. Deregulation of private industries, starting with finance. Loosen regulations to enable financial / market solutions, even if they’re disruptive.

3. Focus on growth. Grow the economy by loosening up credit, drill baby drill, reducing regulatory burdens and taxes, etc.

4. Pursue a muscular global policy of America First. No more wishy-washy playing nice: choose sides, but choose carefully because there will be consequences.

5. It’s morning in America. We can get back on track by unleashing America’s native optimism and vigor.

These solutions from the past are compelling because they delivered decades of growth. Of course reality is complicated, and it wasn’t just these policies by themselves that spawned decades of expansion. Demographics, the “peace dividend” and many other factors helped.

And there were spots of bother: deregulation enabled the Savings and Loan debacle in which a third of the nation’s S&L associations closed as $180 billion went up in smoke, losses that cost taxpayers $132 billion in bailouts.

Beneath the political rhetoric, these policies boil down to Keynesian stimulus which has been the de facto go-to policy “fix” for 60+ years: loosen credit, increase government borrowing and spending, encourage risk-taking and “animal spirits.”

As for regulations, the machine increases regulatory burden until it is restrained politically. Unproductive dead-weight regulations pile up along with the occasional regulation that serves the public interest. Sorting out the unproductive regs from the useful regs is tedious, and so private interests “help” by lobbying to get rid of whatever was inhibiting their expansion into malfeasance and fraud, and then we end up with the S&L debacle in the late 1980s and the Global Financial Meltdown of 2008.

Then the political machine rushes new regulations into law. The pendulum swings back and forth.

See the rest here

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The Broken Window Fallacy Reapplied

Posted by M. C. on June 14, 2022

Both Bastiat and Hazlitt saw that the government is the great window breaker, that destroyer of wealth that drives the economy backwards. The engine of creativity, recovery, and expansion is the private sector, completely unencumbered by state intervention. Ron Paul’s newest book is called Pillars of Prosperity: Free Markets, Sound Money, and Private Property. The title nicely sums up the message of the economics of freedom.

https://mises.org/library/broken-window-fallacy-reapplied

Llewellyn H. Rockwell Jr.

The claim of the Austrian School that has scandalized members of other schools for 150 years is the following. The propositions of economics are universal. The principles apply in all times and all places, because they derive from the structure of reality and human action.

What brought about economic growth, inflation, or the business cycle in China in 300 BC are the same institutions that drive phenomena in the United States in AD 2008. The circumstances of time and place change, but the underlying economic reality is identical.

That claim has made other economists—to say nothing of sociologists, historians, and politicians—scatter like pigeons. The Historical School poured scorn on this idea, and Carl Menger, the founder of the Austrian School, fought them tooth and nail. The Chicago School of positivists found the claim preposterous, and Mises and Hayek and Rothbard battled them. The Keynesians have long been outraged, and the postwar Austrian generation reasserted the truth. The socialists, who posit that rearranging property titles will transform all of reality, say that the claim is absurd, capitalistic nonsense.

But there it stands. No matter where or when, the essential prerequisite for economic growth is capital accumulation in a framework of freedom and sound money. The consequence of price control is shortage and surplus. The effect of money expansion is inflation and the business cycle. The effect of every form of intervention is to make society less prosperous than it would otherwise be.

The list of universals is endless, which is why every age needs good economists to explain and articulate the truth.

Well, I would like to add that there are universal fallacies too.

Frédéric Bastiat pointed to one: the belief that the destruction of wealth fuels its creation. He explains this by means of an allegory that has come to be known as the story of the broken window. Most famously it was retold as the opening of Henry Hazlitt’s Economics in One Lesson, which is probably the bestselling economics book of all time.

A kid throws a rock at a window and breaks it, and everyone standing around regrets the unfortunate state of affairs. But then up walks a man who purports to be wise and all knowing. He points out that this is not a bad thing after all. The man fixing the window will get money for doing so. This will then be spent on a new suit, and the tailor too will get money. The tailor will spend money on other items, and the circle of rising prosperity will expand without end.

What’s wrong with this scenario? As Bastiat put it, “It is not seen that as our shopkeeper has spent six francs upon one thing, he cannot spend them upon another. It is not seen that if he had not had a window to replace, he would, perhaps, have replaced his old shoes, or added another book to his library. In short, he would have employed his six francs in some way which this accident has prevented.”

You can see the absurdity of the position of the wise commentator when you take it to absurd extremes. If the broken window really produces wealth, why not break all windows up and down the whole city block? Indeed, why not break doors and walls? Why not tear down all houses so that they can be rebuilt? Why not bomb whole cities so construction firms can get busy rebuilding?

It is not a good thing to destroy wealth. Bastiat puts it this way: “Society loses the value of things which are uselessly destroyed.”

It sounds like an unexceptional claim. But herein rests the core case against everything the government does. Perhaps, then, we can see why the allegory is not better known. If we took it seriously, we would dismantle the whole apparatus of American economic intervention.

See the rest here

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Here’s How to Deal With Overpopulation | The Daily Bell

Posted by M. C. on November 7, 2017

The trouble with all the individualistic solutions described below is they go against the UN Agenda 21 plan to get us out of the country and suburbia and collect us all into urban hives. The better to control you my dear.

Be independent! Live outside the dome! Not following the master plan! To the FEMA camp for you my good fellow!

Notice the innovative large scale solution from the most market based capitalistic city/state on the planet.

Here’s How to Deal With Overpopulation

Anytime someone in an elite or powerful position starts saying the population is too high we should get worried. You can bet it isn’t their friends and family that they are talking about overpopulating the Earth.

Of course, they are talking about people whom they consider peasants. Definitely me, and probably you too. We are the ones crowding this little planet, and we are the ones whose carbon footprint they say is a problem. Nevermind that the elites burn more carbon flying to their global warming conferences than I use in a year. Read the rest of this entry »

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