MCViewPoint

Opinion from a Libertarian ViewPoint

The Fall of Syria Explained

Posted by M. C. on January 10, 2025

“But in the shell game of U.S. proxy war, HTS and its leader are Washington’s assets. From 2011, the Americans and their NATO partners used Al Qaeda, ISIS, Jabhat al Nusra Front (later HTS) with ratlines of weapons and fighters from Libya, Turkey and all over the world to descend on Syria to inflict horrors.

“Only last week before the final push on the Syria capital, Damascus, Al-Jawlani, the HTS commander, was given a primetime interview/platform by CNN, the U.S. news channel, to rehabilitate his image as a statesman-like leader instead of being a wanted terrorist. Al-Jawlani says the days when he and his organization were associates of ISIS and Al Qaeda are long gone. And CNN and other Western media do their best to make the claim sound plausible. Ah, such a happy ending!”

Paul Craig Roberts

I have complained about the difficulty of acquiring an understanding of Syria’s sudden disappearance.  Neither the Western nor Russian media provide a believable account. Recently I came across Finian Cunningham’s article,”Syria after 13 years of US State terrorism,” on the website of the Strategic Culture Foundation. https://strategic-culture.su/news/2024/12/10/syria-after-13-years-of-us-state-terrorism-what-do-you-expect/  This site is often difficult to access, because Washington stupidly regards it as Russian disinformation.

On the surface Syria’s sudden collapse looks like Syria’s allies, Russia and Iran, might have sold out Syria.  This perception could prevail to the disadvantage of Russia and Iran as reliable allies, but the real explanation is that the years of economic and trade sanctions the West enforced on Syria, the years of Washington’s proxy war against Syria, the foreign occupation of Syria’s oil and wheat provinces by American and Turkish military forces, thus depriving the government of revenues, hollowed out the Syrian economy and left the Syrian military poorly paid for its services. Syria, Cunningham wrote, fell to “a 13-year war of attrition” on which all the victims on both sides were Arabs. The Syrian people, starved of food, medicines and fuel, with over half the population displaced, suffered high inflation and a destroyed currency, and ran out of ability to resist.

I contacted Finian, an international journalist whom I have known for years and learned much that permits me to provide an explanation of Syria’s destruction.

I begin by withdrawing my suspicions of Russian and Iranian perfidy in Syria’s collapse that I expressed in recent columns and interview on Dialogue Works with Nima https://www.youtube.com/live/NfxD_4DhxFo .  Cunningham agrees that Russia and Iran’s fateful strategic blunder was, having repelled the American proxy forces, halting the conflict before decisively defeating Washington’s terrorist proxies and forcing the few American troops controlling the oil fields out of Syria.  Cunningham has convinced me that Russia and Iran were genuinely blindsided by the sudden collapse of Syria, indicating perhaps intelligence failure and unpreparedness, but not perfidy.

Thirteen years of US and European sanctions and proxy war together with US and Turkish occupation of Syria’s oil and wheat provinces deprived the state of export revenues, leaving the people with blackouts and hyperinflation and the soldiers impoverished and demoralized.  The halt in the conflict prior to the total defeat of the American proxies and eviction of Turkey and Washington from Syria meant that the exhausting multi-year struggle had no payoff for Syria.  For their own reasons Putin and Iran wanted the fighting to stop, and it stopped before Syria achieved any benefit from the success in repelling Washington’s proxy army.  The oil and wheat provinces remained in enemy hands. So the war stopped too soon and the victory was hollow.  

Assad’s ability to govern was crippled by normal Arab corruption and a self-serving bureaucracy. Additionally, Assad was lured by Saudis and oil sheikdoms with false promises of normalizing relations of the Alawite  Syrians with Sunni Arabs.

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TGIF: Efficient Bureaucracy?

Posted by M. C. on January 10, 2025

The real bosses, in the capitalist system of market economy, are the consumers. They, by their buying and by their abstention from buying, decide who should own the capital and run the plants. They determine what should be produced and in what quantity and quality. Their attitudes result either in profit or in loss for the enterpriser. They make poor men rich and rich men poor. They are no easy bosses.

https://libertarianinstitute.org/articles/tgif-efficient-bureaucracy/

by Sheldon Richman

bureaucracy

With all the talk about government efficiency, it would be useful to remind ourselves why bureaucracies differ radically from for-profit businesses. Ludwig von Mises devoted a short but enlightening volume to this subject in 1944, Bureaucracy. Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, who will co-chair the nongovernmental Department of Government Efficiency, should do some homework by reading that book.

Mises, as an advocate of limited government, did not argue that bureaucracy has no place in a free society. In contrast to anarcho-capitalists, he thought government and therefore some bureaucracy was necessary to protect what he valued most: peaceful social cooperation through the division of labor—that is, the market economy. Violence against persons and property was clearly antithetical to the continuing welfare-enhancing collaboration we call the market process. But Mises did not want bureaucracies trying to do what free, private, and competitive enterprises could do better. Moreover, if the government went beyond its mere peacekeeping duties, it would undermine the market process and make us all less well off despite any good intentions.

Mises began by reminding readers (or perhaps teaching them from scratch) what the free market is and what it accomplishes. It’s a great primer for those who lack the time to read his longer works. He wrote:

Capitalism or market economy is that system of social cooperation and division of labor that is based on private ownership of the means of production. The material factors of production are owned by individual citizens, the capitalists and the landowners. The plants and the farms are operated by the entrepreneurs and the farmers, that is, by individuals or associations of individuals who either themselves own the capital and the soil or have borrowed or rented them from the owners. Free enterprise is the characteristic feature of capitalism. The objective of every enterpriser—whether businessman or farmer—is to make profit.

The uninitiated might ask who runs things. He replied: “The capitalists, the enterprisers, and the farmers are instrumental in the conduct of economic affairs. They are at the helm and steer the ship.”

However, let’s not jump to conclusions about who really runs things, Mises advsed:

But [the capitalists, etc.] are not free to shape [the ship’s] course. They are not supreme, they are steersmen only, bound to obey unconditionally the captain’s orders. The captain is the consumer.

Neither the capitalists nor the entrepreneurs nor the farmers determine what has to be produced. The consumers do that. The producers do not produce for their own consumption but for the market. They are intent on selling their products. If the consumers do not buy the goods offered to them, the businessman cannot recover the outlays made. He loses his money. If he fails to adjust his procedure to the wishes of the consumers, he will very soon be removed from his eminent position at the helm. Other men who did better in satisfying the demand of the consumers replace him.

All the conventional controversy about bosses and workers overlooks the critical point:

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My Top 5 Favourite Books

Posted by M. C. on January 9, 2025

sbrebrown

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INSANE New York Speech Crackdown Shields ISRAEL ONLY

Posted by M. C. on January 8, 2025

Glenn Greenwald

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Tariffs Won’t Save the US Dollar

Posted by M. C. on January 7, 2025

With the fiat US dollar having lost well over 98 percent of its purchasing power in terms of gold since President Nixon cut the last links to gold in 1971, calling it “mighty” as Trump did, is a gross exaggeration.

https://mises.org/mises-wire/tariffs-wont-save-us-dollar

Mises WireVincent Cook

In a November 30 Truth Social post, President-elect Trump threatened BRICS states—Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Iran, Ethiopia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates, plus more states in the process of joining—with 100 percent tariffs on their exports to America if they dared to attempt replacing the US dollar as an international trade currency:

The idea that the BRICS Countries are trying to move away from the Dollar while we stand by and watch is OVER. We require a commitment from these Countries that they will neither create a new BRICS Currency, nor back any other Currency to replace the mighty U.S. Dollar or, they will face 100 percent Tariffs, and should expect to say goodbye to selling into the wonderful U.S. Economy. They can go find another “sucker!” There is no chance that the BRICS will replace the U.S. Dollar in International Trade, and any Country that tries should wave goodbye to America.

When one examines international trade data in detail, however, some curious anomalies in Trump’s statements become evident. For one thing, the world needs the BRICS economies for both merchandise exports and imports far more than the world needs America. China (including Hong Kong) all by itself is a bigger importer and far bigger exporter of goods than America. America only accounts for 13 percent of the world’s merchandise imports and less than 9 percent of its merchandise exports. If the world’s economy were to fragment into rival currency/trade blocs, most countries outside of North America would regard access to BRICS markets, not to America’s markets, as being a higher priority.

A NAFTA bloc and its US dollar would be competing on unfavorable terms with a BRICS bloc, a Euro bloc, and maybe a Japanese-led bloc for access to the natural resources and other factors of the less-industrialized countries. Fears of being cut off from natural resources, in turn, incentivizes hostile blocs to turn into hostile military alliances, and for their trade and currency wars to turn into world wars.

For another thing, Trump’s threats mean nothing to states that are already under severe sanctions like Russia and Iran. They export practically nothing to America. It is Chinese manufacturers who have the most to lose by the BRICS bloc antagonizing Trump, with their annual export revenues on the order of $450 billion at stake (about 3/4ths of all BRICS exports to America). However, Chinese dictator Xi has undoubtedly calculated that China’s economy is likely going to be targeted by American statists anyway, so he has every incentive to preemptively create a sanctions-proof international medium of exchange in spite of risks to export markets, just as BRICS has already created an independent wire payments system and an independent multinational credit institution to bypass American-aligned institutions. Trump’s brazen threat only provides more evidence that the American government is not a trustworthy steward of an international monetary system, and thus makes migration away from a dollar-dominated system towards some sort of alternative money even more urgent and compelling for every state that fears arousing Washington’s ire.

Yet another odd thing about Trump’s threat is that trade barriers hurt Americans as well as foreigners. It is not simply that case that big box retailers are filled from floor to ceiling with inexpensive Chinese-made consumer goods that Americans can’t seem to get enough of. The data show that China is a critical supplier of electronics and machinery too, something which American businesses depend heavily on for their own productivity. Tariffs do nothing to address the root causes of America’s deindustrialization, but suddenly cutting off access to Chinese-made capital goods and forcing diversions of scarce inputs to sectors where America lacks comparative advantages to make up for lost imports means tremendous losses of productivity and real incomes for American workers. Tariffs can certainly accelerate the deindustrialization process and the decline of the middle class and make dollar-denominated accounts and assets even more unattractive to foreigners. Carrying out Trump’s threat would be spectacularly counterproductive for the Americans who voted for Trump.

To be sure, a fragmentation of the world’s economy into rival blocs hurts everyone, not just Americans, so Trump’s threat might just be a bluff to gain an advantage in trade negotiations, and won’t do any real damage unless his bluff gets called. Even as a mere negotiating ploy, Trump’s demands don’t make sense. What Trump doesn’t seem to understand is that the continual creation of fiat dollars and dollar substitutes out of thin air hurts everyone too. Continued dependency of the world on fiat dollars is not an acceptable outcome, not even for Americans. Using threats of economic chaos to try to keep the current failing system in place is madness.

Not only are America’s predatory elites (who happen to be fiercely anti-Trump) ruthlessly exploiting the entire world with what former French President Valéry Giscard d’Estaing famously called the American government’s “exorbitant privilege” of fiat dollar creation to commandeer the productivity of others, the use of dollar-denominated US Treasury securities as the principal reserve asset for the world’s banking system means that this system is at risk of a catastrophic collapse in the event of a dollar hyperinflation. The dollar’s role as the leading trade currency is a mere byproduct of the foreign demand for dollar-denominated US Treasury securities. It is this dubious choice of reserve asset as a substitute for gold that poses an existential hyperinflationary threat to the entire global monetary system.

With the fiat US dollar having lost well over 98 percent of its purchasing power in terms of gold since President Nixon cut the last links to gold in 1971, calling it “mighty” as Trump did, is a gross exaggeration.

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Who are the Rulers, Authorities & Powers?

Posted by M. C. on January 6, 2025

What Paul’s letter to the Ephesians may be telling us about our world today.

Observing contemporary culture and politics, it occurs to me that stupidity is, in fact, the primary means through which evil acts in the world. Could it be that evil works by seducing the minds of ignorant people who are not in the habit of thinking seriously about anything?

A remarkable verse that Biblical scholars have pondered for centuries is 6:12.

https://petermcculloughmd.substack.com/p/who-are-the-rulers-authorities-and

With Syria apparently now being led by the rebel leader Ahmed Hussein al-Sharaa, I wonder what will become of that ancient country that features so prominently in the Bible.

I’m fairly confident in stating that the baleful U.S. government—which has been meddling in the affairs of Syria for decades—has no idea how things will now turn out. The U.S. State Department listed al-Sharaa as a “Specially Designated Global Terrorist” in May 2013. However, after a brief chat with with an American delegation led by Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs Barbara A. Leaf, the State Department rescinded this designation. Like Paul on the Road to Damascus, it seems that al-Sharaa has undergone some sort of miraculous conversion—in his case, from a top international terrorist to a palatable replacement of the fallen dictator Bashar al-Assad.

I have long found it puzzling that the West was unable to come to terms with Assad, given how difficult it must be to govern that tribal, sectarian, and unruly country. In his upbringing and education, Assad was in many respects a western, secular leader. After studying medicine in Syria and serving as an army doctor, he moved to London for post-graduate training in ophthalmology at the Western Eye Hospital. While in London he married an Englishwoman of Syrian extraction named Asma Fawaz, who graduated from King’s College London in 1996 with a bachelor’s degree in computer science and French literature.

Asma worked in investment banking and was about to begin an MBA at Harvard University when she married Bashar al-Assad in 2000. She then quit investment banking and remained in Syria, where their three children were born. As First Lady, she supported government organizations involved with social and economic development as part of a reform initiative halted by the outbreak of the Syrian civil war.

Now it seems that our State Department and the CIA—which never liked Assad—believe that al-Sharaa will be a better man in Damascus. I suppose we shall see.

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What If Solutions That Worked in the Past No Longer Fix What’s Broken?

Posted by M. C. on January 6, 2025

Political realities are glossed over to fuel optimism for “hope and change.” No politician ever wins re-election by reducing the federal budget. This is an abstraction we claim to care about but in the real world, we care more about decaying bridges where we live, the cost of medications, whether jobs or plentiful or scarce, etc., and so politicians win re-election by sluicing federal funding to repairing the bridge, reducing the cost of medications and funding the defense plant making weapons the Pentagon didn’t want but Congress loved because “defense spending” is viewed politically as a jobs program.

https://www.oftwominds.com/blogdec24/past-solutions12-24.html

You see the irony here: the more successful the old solutions were, the greater our compulsion to cling to them even as they fail.

Humans use inductive reasoning to solve problems. If a solution fixed a problem in the past, we assume it will solve the problem again. This is a rational expectation based on prior experience.

But if conditions change, the solution won’t fix the problem. It might even make things worse.

The difficulty is what’s changed isn’t always visible or obvious. On the surface, things look the same. What’s changed is buried deep in the structural machinery grinding away beneath the superficial sense of continuity with the recent past.

This describes the current global system: conditions have changed but these structural changes are not visible. On the surface, the present looks like the recent past. Yes, technology changes, but this constant churn of new technology has long been part of the system.

Make America Great Again is an explicit call to return to the solutions that worked in the past, specifically The Reagan Revolution of the 1980s, which was characterized by these policies:

1. The federal government is the problem, not the solution. The solution is to reduce the influence and financial footprint of the federal government.

2. Deregulation of private industries, starting with finance. Loosen regulations to enable financial / market solutions, even if they’re disruptive.

3. Focus on growth. Grow the economy by loosening up credit, drill baby drill, reducing regulatory burdens and taxes, etc.

4. Pursue a muscular global policy of America First. No more wishy-washy playing nice: choose sides, but choose carefully because there will be consequences.

5. It’s morning in America. We can get back on track by unleashing America’s native optimism and vigor.

These solutions from the past are compelling because they delivered decades of growth. Of course reality is complicated, and it wasn’t just these policies by themselves that spawned decades of expansion. Demographics, the “peace dividend” and many other factors helped.

And there were spots of bother: deregulation enabled the Savings and Loan debacle in which a third of the nation’s S&L associations closed as $180 billion went up in smoke, losses that cost taxpayers $132 billion in bailouts.

Beneath the political rhetoric, these policies boil down to Keynesian stimulus which has been the de facto go-to policy “fix” for 60+ years: loosen credit, increase government borrowing and spending, encourage risk-taking and “animal spirits.”

As for regulations, the machine increases regulatory burden until it is restrained politically. Unproductive dead-weight regulations pile up along with the occasional regulation that serves the public interest. Sorting out the unproductive regs from the useful regs is tedious, and so private interests “help” by lobbying to get rid of whatever was inhibiting their expansion into malfeasance and fraud, and then we end up with the S&L debacle in the late 1980s and the Global Financial Meltdown of 2008.

Then the political machine rushes new regulations into law. The pendulum swings back and forth.

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The New Hysteria: The Regime Pivots from Russians to Immigrants

Posted by M. C. on January 6, 2025

The Trump administration has already signaled its openness to a growing surveillance state through Trump’s chosen friends and alliances. For example, Trump’s Vice President, JD Vance is essentially bankrolled by Peter Thiel, founder of Palantir, a data mining firm thoroughly linked to the CIA. Thiel is a longtime advocate of a federal surveillance state, and now Trump proposes appointing Thiel’s protégé, Blake Masters, as head of the BATF

So much for draining the swamp. Vance = Pence =

In September, Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison happily reported that “Citizens will be on their best behavior because we are constantly recording and reporting everything that’s going on.” It’s not mentioned if non-citizens will be on their best behavior too, but it’s clear that citizens are going to be targeted every bit as much as any immigrant.

eye

01/03/2025 • Mises WireRyan McMaken

https://mises.org/mises-wire/new-hysteria-regime-pivots-russians-immigrants

The debate over immigration is working out perfectly for the deep state. Donald Trump is calling on the CIA and the FBI to “get involved” in domestic policing. At the same time, MAGA conservatives are begging the US government to impose a vast new surveillance state on Americans in the name of stopping illegal aliens.

For at least four years, Russiagate hysteria has been used to promote more police statism, spying, military intervention, and government spending. Now, the incoming president Donald Trump will help the US regime seamlessly pivot from Russiagate hysteria to hysteria over Islamists and immigrants. The result will be the same: more growth in the federal police state and the further erosion of the Bill of Rights. This will be welcomed by MAGA conservatives who weeks earlier claimed to be suspicious of federal power and opponents of federal spy and police agencies.

Trump’s Foreign Bogeymen and His Allies at the CIA

On Thursday, Trump posted on X/Twitter demanding that “The CIA must get involved, NOW, before it is too late,” presumably in reaction to the New Orleans New Years Eve massacre, which rightwing activists have declared to be an act of terrorism committed by an Islamist from an immigrant family. In the same post, Trump says “This is what happens when you have OPEN BORDERS,” tying the issue of immigration to terrorism, and then demanding that the CIA become more active in domestic spying.

Trump has already given a number of hints as to what will be used to justify the continued drumbeat for police statism under his second administration. Just prior to his post calling for an expanded CIA, Trump declared that “Radical Islamic Terrorism, and other forms of violent crime, will become so bad in America that it will become hard to even imagine or believe.” This is Trump’s version of the “communists under your bed” hysteria of the 1950s, which, of course was used to justify the growth of the American security state during the Cold war. 

The Trump administration has already signaled its openness to a growing surveillance state through Trump’s chosen friends and alliances. For example, Trump’s Vice President, JD Vance is essentially bankrolled by Peter Thiel, founder of Palantir, a data mining firm thoroughly linked to the CIA. Thiel is a longtime advocate of a federal surveillance state, and now Trump proposes appointing Thiel’s protégé, Blake Masters, as head of the BATF

All the evidence points to an incoming administration that is very comfortable with helping the deep state get bigger and more powerful. After all, during Trump’s first administration, Trump immediately betrayed his promise to make the six-decade-old JFK files public, instead siding with CIA and FBI bureaucrats. Trump apparently believes that the taxpayers still must not be allowed to view basic historical records from the days when your grandfather was still hoping to move up to middle management at Studebaker Corporation.

Moreover, during his first term, Trump issued an order giving more independence to the CIA, making it easier for the agency to conduct cyber attacks without oversight from the civilian government.

Who can be surprised that he’s now calling on the CIA to do more?

Using Immigration to Justify the Panopticon

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Al Qaida Is Winning – The New Caliphate In Syria

Posted by M. C. on January 4, 2025

A comedian and neo-nazis running Ukraine after the other US coup…Another foreign policy success story.

Tyler Durden's Photo

by Tyler Durden

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/al-qaida-winning-new-caliphate-syria

Authored by Sam Faddis via ANDMagazine.com,

Biden began his term in office by abandoning Afghanistan to the Taliban and allowing the creation of a new terrorist super state. He is finishing his time in the Oval Office by watching helplessly as a new Caliphate is formed in the rubble of what was once Syria. Divorced from reality as always, his hapless State Department now calls the jihadi ruler of Damascus Al-Jolani a “pragmatist” and talks mindlessly about accommodation and cooperation with mass murderers and rapists.

Meanwhile, inside Syria, the new Islamic rulers are losing no time in consolidating their rule and making clear their intentions. On 26 December, Al-Jolani appointed former Al-Qaeda commander and Nusra Front co-founder Anas Hassan Khattab as the head of the country’s general intelligence agency. Khattab was designated a “terrorist” by the United Nations a decade ago. According to the UN, he was involved “in the financing, planning, facilitating, preparing, or perpetrating of acts or activities by, in conjunction with, under the name of, on behalf of, or in support of” and “otherwise supporting acts or activities of” the Nusra Front. This Al-Qaeda offshoot was rebranded as Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in 2017.

Those are the guys who now run Syria.

As the head of intelligence Khattab’s job will not be to prepare detailed analyses of foreign developments. He will be in charge of domestic security. His job will be to crush any dissent and guarantee Al-Jolani stays in power. He has already been performing that function in the areas that HTS has controlled for years, where torture and murder are common tactics used to stifle dissent.

Last week, Asaad Hassan al-Shibani, a founding member of Al-Qaeda in Syria, was appointed foreign minister for the new terrorist state being created in Syria.

Meanwhile, more information is becoming available on the composition of the jihadist forces that drove Assad from power. Contrary to press reports that want to characterize the ousting of Assad as some sort of liberal, democratic, populist movement, the reality appears to be that substantial numbers of fighters from outside of Syria are present on the ground. Just before Christmas, a video surfaced of a Christmas tree in a town in Syria being burned by Islamists. It now appears the terrorists who carried out this action were Uzbek fighters fighting with Al-Jolani’s forces.

In fact, substantial numbers of Central Asians are in Syria and serving the new Caliphate. According to the Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI),

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