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Is the ‘Housing Shortage’ the Result of Housing-Hoarding by the Wealthy?

Posted by M. C. on April 23, 2024

Would a deep recession incentivize an increase in the number of occupants per dwelling and a corresponding decline in demand for rentals? Would a collapse of The Everything Bubble prompt some selling of hoarded housing? As painful as these might be, these dynamics would correct the destabilizing distortions wrought by the Fed’s easy-money bubble blowing and concentration of wealth in the hands of the few at the expense of the many.

https://www.oftwominds.com/blogapr24/housing-shortage4-24.html

Those seeking to buy a house as shelter for their household can’t compete with the wealthy seeking assets to snap up and hoard for appreciation.

Longtime readers know I’ve been addressing housing issues from the start of the blog in 2005. Let’s start with the general context of housing in the US, courtesy of the US Census Bureau, which tracks occupancy and the number of housing units nationally: Quarterly Residential Vacancies and Homeownership, 4th Quarter 2023

All housing units 145,967,000

Occupied 131,206,000

Owner 86,220,000 59%
Renter 44,985,000 31%

Vacant 14,761,000 10%

Non-seasonal (i.e. not second homes owned by the wealthy for their recreational use) 11,177,000

Units vacant because they’re in the process of being rented or sold:
For rent 3,224,000
For sale only 757,000
Rented or Sold 783,000

Held off Market (occasional use, temporarily occupied, other) 6,414,000

Seasonal (i.e. second homes owned by the wealthy for their recreational use) 3,583,000

TOTAL Held off Market and Seasonal / Recreational: 9,997,000

In summary: there are 14.7 million vacant dwellings in the US, of which 10 million are not available for year-round rentals or sale. Those 10 million dwellings are comparable to the total number of dwellings in entire nations, for example, Australia (11 million housing units, population of 27 million).

There are many complexities not specified or included in these statistics. For example, vacant dwellings located in rural locales with few jobs might be empty because there is little demand due to a declining population. Other dwellings may no longer be habitable without renovation or repair.

On the other side of the equation, non-permitted dwellings (granny flats, etc.) may also be uncounted as those answering Census Bureau questionnaires might hesitate to report units added without official approval. This can include everything from RVs parked alongside homes to converted garages to living rooms partitioned off and rented out as quasi-bedrooms.

The vagarities of self-reported data are potentially major factors in counting short-term vacation rentals, a.k.a. AirBnB / VRBO-type rentals. Data remains sketchy on exactly how many housing units are being “held off the market” as short-term vacation rentals. As of 2023, there were 2,459,260 available vacation rental listings in the U.S., but this may not include informal rentals, rentals listed outside of the major platforms, etc.

The Census Bureau offers several estimates of seasonal units: 3.6 million in the above link, and 4.3 million vacant seasonal units in this post: See a Vacant Home? It May Not be For Sale or Rent. These are traditionally second or third homes of wealthy households. but many such properties are now being offered as short-term vacation rentals for periods when the owners aren’t using the property.

What these statistics don’t tell us is how many housing units have been snapped up by wealthy households as investments, nominally as “second homes” but solely as safe places to park excess capital / credit, not for recreational use. The wealthy may have joined the rush to cash in on the short-term vacation rentals boom, but they don’t need positive cash flow to afford the costs of ownership; the Airbnb rental income was mostly to defray the costs of ownership.

Too Many Rich People Bought Airbnbs. Now They’re Sitting Empty

In other words, one factor in the “housing shortage” is the pressure on the wealthiest households to find places to park their excess capital and exploit their low-cost lines of credit. This can be understood as a second-order effect of the Federal Reserve’s policy of inflating asset bubbles in which 90% of the gains flowed to the top 10% households. This new wealth could then be tapped to buy real estate, a long-favored asset class of the wealthy that has risen to new heights as the wealthy compete with other wealthy households to snap up housing.

There’s not much in the pockets of the bottom 50% to compete with the top 5% for housing: we can expand this to say there isn’t enough in the pockets of the bottom 90% to compete with the top 10% who collected 90% of the gains of the Fed’s credit-asset bubbles:

See the rest here

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In Gaza The Sniper Drones Are Crying Like Babies

Posted by M. C. on April 23, 2024

This baby-crying-sniper-drone story is something else, though. It’s like something out of a weird post-apocalyptic horror movie or something.

Caitlin Johnstone

They’re hunting civilians with armed quadcopters in Gaza.

The drones play recordings of crying babies and women screaming in distress in order to lure people out into the open, and then shoot them. 

This is reportedly happening at the Nuseirat refugee camp in central Gaza, where people live in total darkness at night and have no connection to the outside world.

Other times the drones play the sounds of explosions and gunshots and rolling tanks, and sometimes songs in Hebrew or Arabic, all to terrorize these refugees hiding in the darkness afraid for their lives.

This is the sort of report that a critical thinker would normally dismiss as absurd atrocity propaganda if it was being made about any other military power, but this is the IDF we’re talking about, and this specific allegation is pretty well-supported now. 

When the destruction of Gaza first began I used to read the jarring claims about the horrific things the IDF were doing and often think, “No, no way. That can’t be the whole story. It’s too cartoonishly evil. There must be some information missing.” Then a few days or weeks later confirmation would come out, showing it’s even worse than I thought before.

I don’t experience that kind of dubiousness when reading such stories anymore. There are only so many atrocities you can see documented, so many videos of IDF troops recording themselves gleefully behaving like monsters, so many hospitals you can see attacked, so many journalists you can see assassinated, before you read a new report about new unfathomable acts of depravity and find yourself saying “Yeah, that sounds about right.”

See the rest here

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CIA To Zelensky: ‘Please Stop Stealing So Much.’

Posted by M. C. on April 23, 2024

The Ron Paul Liberty Report

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Government Documents- You can now be considered a “potential terrorist” just because of your religious or political beliefs.

Posted by M. C. on April 22, 2024

1. “Those that talk about “individual liberties”

6. Those that believe “that the interests of one’s own nation are separate from the interests of other nations or the common interest of all nations”
7. “Anyone that holds a “political ideology that considers the state to be unnecessary, harmful,or undesirable”

21. Members of the Christian Action Network
22. Anyone that is “opposed to the New World Order”

Uh Oh!

Milan Adams

See the rest here

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Tariffs Are Taxes on Americans—But Protectionists Pretend Otherwise

Posted by M. C. on April 22, 2024

Taxes benefit the regime while impoverishing the rest of us. To favor “free trade” is to favor lowering taxes on Americans and depriving the regime of funds. To favor protectionism, whether it be for some foreign-policy crusade, or to “create jobs” is to simply be in favor of raising taxes and handing over more Americans’ wealth to the state.

https://mises.org/mises-wire/tariffs-are-taxes-americans-protectionists-pretend-otherwise

tax

04/18/2024 • Mises WireRyan McMaken

During the 2016 and 2020 campaigns, Trump’s opponents in the Democratic party (and elsewhere) often pointed out that Trump’s protectionism hobbles private markets and the economy overall. Yet, the allegedly anti-protectionist Biden administration has done virtually nothing to end Trump’s protectionists policies put in place from 2017 to 2020. The motivation is unclear, but it is possible that the Biden administration realized that protectionism is a useful political tool. These policies offer a way of punishing opponents, rewarding allies, and pandering to voters. 

Now that it’s election season, the pandering side of the equation is in full swing. Biden this week called for “sharply higher U.S. tariffs on Chinese metal products.” Appropriately, Biden included this new spate of protectionism in what Reuters calls “a package of policies aimed at pleasing steelworkers in the swing state of Pennsylvania.” 

Biden’s pandering will likely bear some fruit, politically speaking. Protectionism remains popular. But, as Henry Hazlitt put it, voter support for raising tariffs is “the result of looking only at the immediate effects of a single tariff rate on one group of producers, and forgetting the long-run effects both on consumers as a whole and on all other producers.” Those who are incapable or unwilling to examine policies beyond their most short-term effects are easy targets for protectionist rhetoric.

The reason there are so many negative effects, of course, is that tariffs are nothing more or less than taxes and they produce the same effects as any other type of tax: when Country A imposes tariffs, Country A’s government is enriched while both producers and consumers living in Country A must endure higher prices and a less productive economy. 

Even those voters who imagine themselves as opposed to taxes and “big government” often embrace tariffs—apparently fooled by the misconception that tariffs aren’t taxes or that they are only paid by foreigners. Many conservatives and protectionist “libertarians” create a wide variety of ornate theories with big words designed to distract from the fact that American tariffs are taxes on Americans. Ultimately, however, these people are simply pushing for tax increases. 

It’s Not that Complicated: Tariffs Are Taxes 

A tariff is a tax that is collected when a good crosses an international border. In the United States, as with any country that imposes tariffs, any good that is subject to tariff can only enter the country when the extra tax is paid upon entry. (This tax is in addition to any other taxes that must be paid down the line, such as sales taxes.) As with any similar transactional tax (e.g., sales taxes) the result is higher prices and fewer choices for consumers. It must also be noted that the “consumer” of imported goods need not be the retail consumer or end consumer. A great many imported goods are intermediate goods that are used in the creation and production of other goods produced and sold within the United States. That is, tariffs are often taxes on materials used by American entrepreneurs and business owners to produce American goods. 

Raising taxes (i.e., tariffs) raises costs for all these American producers and consumers. Yes, it is true that Americans do not suffer the full consequences of taxes on foreign goods. As with a sales tax, a tariff imposes some costs on the seller by raising prices and thus reducing total sales. But it is simply wrong to portray tariffs are taxes primarily on foreigners, since, as Murray Rothbard notes, “Tariffs injure the consumers within the ‘protected’ area, who are prevented from purchasing from more efficient competitors at a lower price. 

Yet, protectionists have long been in the business trying to explain that tariffs are not actually taxes on Americans at all. Or, as Rothbard puts it

Tariffs have inspired a profusion of economic speculation and argument. The arguments for tariffs have one thing in common: they all attempt to prove that the consumers of the protected area are not exploited by the tariff. These attempts are all in vain.

Old habits die hard, however. Even among readers of mises.org, one finds plenty of readers involved in the quest to convince others that raising taxes is a good thing. One such claim is that since other countries impose high import taxes on their own citizens, the US government must do the same. Consider this response to a recent mises.org article on trade. The reader states: “Baloney. Horse manure. ‘Free trade’ is a meaningless slogan. The issue of trade is much more complex than slogans. You can’t have free trade with Japan and China, which uses massive protectionist policies to help its own workers and industries. The wages are not comparable!!!”

See the rest here

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Why Would He Do This? — Speaker Johnson Is Really Hurting America

Posted by M. C. on April 22, 2024

The Ron Paul Liberty Report

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Speaker Johnson’s Ignominious Betrayal

Posted by M. C. on April 22, 2024

Apparently, it’s because Johnson and a good share of the Washington GOP have succumbed wholesale to neocon paranoia, stupidity, lies and hollow excuses for warmongering.

By David Stockman

Speaker Johnson’s ignominious betrayal of fscal sanity might well be the death knell for the GOP. He is apparently risking his speakership on behalf of $95 billion of foreign aid boondoggles that Uncle Sam cannot remotely aford, and which actually provide zero beneft to the homeland security of America. And we do mean zero, as in nothing, nichts, nada, nyet and nugatory, as we amplify below.

What Johnson’s impending Waterloo means, therefore, is not merely the prospect of another wild and wooly succession battle, but actually that there is no point at all in the preservation of a Republican majority and GOP House Speaker. Afer all, the Washington GOP has become so infected with neocon warmongers and careerist pols who spend a lifetime basking in the imperial projects and pretensions of the world’s War Capital that apparently the best the House GOP caucus could do when it ejected the previous careerist deep stater from the Speaker’s chair was to tap the dim-witted nincompoop who currently occupies it.

The Republican party is thus truly beyond redemption. As JFK once said about the CIA, its needs to be splintered into a thousand pieces and swept into the dustbin of history.

Indeed, when you look at the calamitous fscal trajectory embedded in the CBO’s latest 30-year fscal outlook, you truly have to wonder about what miniature minds like Congressman Johnson’s are actually thinking. That is to say, the latest CBO report published in March presumes that there will never be another recession and no infation fare-up, interest rate spike, global energy dislocation, prolonged Forever War or any other imaginable crisis ever again—just smooth economic sailing for the next 30 years.

And yet, and then. Even by the math of this Rosy Scenario on steroids the public debt will reach $140 trillion at minimum by 2054. In turn, that would cause interest payments on the public debt with rates no higher than those which prevailed between 1986 and 1997 to reach $10 trillion per year.

You simply don’t need paragraphs, pages and whole monographs worth of analysis and amplifcation to understand where that is going. The nation’s fsc is now on the cusp of descending into the maws of a doomsday machine. So how in the world do these elements of Johnson’s ofering make even the remotest sense?

Speaker Johnson’s Foreign Aid Boondoggle:

Indo-Pacifc aid: $8.1 billion.

Israel: $26.4 billion.

Ukraine: $60.8 billion.

Total: $95.3 billion.

Apparently, it’s because Johnson and a good share of the Washington GOP have succumbed wholesale to neocon paranoia, stupidity, lies and hollow excuses for warmongering.

See the rest here

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Seditious Conspiracy: A Fake Crime and a Danger to Free Speech

Posted by M. C. on April 22, 2024

Contrary to what a naïve reading of the First Amendment might suggest, the federal government has never been especially keen on respecting the right to free speech.

In real life, people can be found guilty of conspiring with people with whom they have never been in the same room, or with whom the “conspirator” expressed any actual violent intent.

https://mises.org/podcasts/censorship-and-official-lies-end-truth-america/seditious-conspiracy-fake-crime-and-danger-free-speech

Ryan McMaken

A presentation from “Censorship and Official Lies: The End of Truth in America?” This event was co-hosted by the Mises Institute and the Ron Paul Institute, and recorded in Lake Jackson, Texas, on April 13, 2024.

Full Written Text (Audio link is above): 

Over the past three years, the word “sedition” has again become popular among regime agents and their friends in the media. It’s certainly not the first time the word has enjoyed a renaissance. It’s frequently employed whenever the ruling class wishes us to become hysterical about various real and imagined enemies, both domestic and foreign.

This time, the regime’s paranoia about sedition was prompted by the Capitol Riot in January 2021, when we were told that Trump supporters nearly carried out a coup d’etat. Since then, regime operatives have frequently referred to Trump supporters and Trump himself as seditionists.

Yet, out of the approximately 850 people charged with crimes of various sorts, only a very small number have been charged with anything even close to treason or insurrection. Rather, most charges are various forms of infractions related to vandalism and trespassing. However, because these charges have to do with the regime’s sacred office buildings, the penalties are outrageously harsh compared to similar acts, were they to occur on private property.

For a small handful of defendants, however—the ones the Justice Department has most enthusiastically targeted—the federal prosecutors have brought the charge of “seditious conspiracy.”

Why not charges of treason, rebellion or insurrection? Well, if federal prosecutors though they could get a conviction for actual rebellion, insurrection, or treason for the January 6 riot, they would have brought those charges.

But they didn’t.

What they did do is turn to seditious conspiracy, which is far easier to prove in court, and is—like all conspiracy charges in American law—essentially a thought crime and a speech crime. Seditious conspiracy is not actual sedition, or rebellion, or insurrection. That is, there is no overt act necessary, nor is it necessary that the alleged sedition or insurrection actually take place or be executed. What really matters is that two or more people said things that prosecutors could later claim were part of a conspiracy to do something that may or may not have ever happened.

Moreover, the regime now routinely employs other types of conspiracy charges for prosecuting Americans supposedly guilty for various crimes against the state. At the moment, for example, Donald Trump faces three different conspiracy charges for saying that the 2020 election was illegitimate.

As we shall see, purported crimes like seditious conspiracy are crimes based largely on things people have said. They are a type of speech crime.  

Now, some may ask how that is even possible if there is freedom of speech in this country.

Contrary to what a naïve reading of the First Amendment might suggest, the federal government has never been especially keen on respecting the right to free speech.

See the rest here

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Kyle Larson: ‘My brain wasn’t quite ready’ for high speed of INDYCAR | @DirtyMoMedia Speed Street

Posted by M. C. on April 21, 2024

NASCAR star Kyle Larson, who’s looking to become the first driver in a decade to complete “The Double” with Arrow McLaren and Hendrick Motorsports, talks about getting adjusted from stock cars to INDYCAR and his experience at the Indy 500 Open Test ahead of May.

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Sheila Jackson Lee Named Head Of Harvard Astronomy Department

Posted by M. C. on April 20, 2024

Education · Apr 10, 2024 · BabylonBee.com

In 1997, while serving as a member of the House Science Committee, Jackson Lee asked whether the Mars Pathfinder rover had succeeded in taking a photo of Neil Armstrong’s U.S. flag, which was planted on the Moon in 1969. Not Babylon news, real news, sort of.

https://babylonbee.com/news/sheila-jackson-lee-named-head-of-harvard-astronomy-department

Article Image

CAMBRIDGE, MA — In the wake of claiming the moon is made of gas and the sun is “almost” too hot to get close to, Texas Congresswoman Sheila Jackson Lee has been named the new head of Harvard University’s Astronomy Department.

The Board of Overseers at the prestigious Ivy League institution was reportedly wowed by Jackson Lee’s insights into the cosmos, with the school immediately seeking to get in touch with her about the department head position.

“Her knowledge blew us away,” said Harvard Interim President Alan Garber. “When she said, ‘The moon is made up of mostly gasses. That’s why the question is why or how could we humans live on the moon’ — that’s when we knew she was Harvard material.”

While some have raised questions about Jackson Lee’s qualifications to lead the school’s Astronomy Department after her comments about the moon being comprised of gases, the board was willing to overlook any criticism. “It’s not about qualifications here at Harvard,” Garber said. “She hasn’t been qualified to serve in Congress all these years, but she’s done it. That says a lot about her ability to overcome adversity and general misunderstandings about basic elements. She literally watched a flag be planted on the moon, thinking it’s being planted in gas – and yet, she got elected to Congress. What a leader!”

Jackson Lee’s office said she would join the school’s faculty within a few weeks and that due to normal legislative inaction, it would not interfere with her ability to continue serving in Congress.

At publishing time, Jackson Lee was planning her first lecture to educate students about the fact that asteroids are made of chocolate.

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